Thursday, March 22, 2012

Cleveland Indians Prospect Countdown: #10-6


10. Luigi Rodriguez, CF

DOB: 11/13/1992
Height/Weight: 5-11/165
Bats/Throws: Switch/Right
Acquired: International Free Agent in 2010
2011 Stats: .304/.356/.441 with 3 HR, 19 RBI and 18 SB in 59 games between Rookie league AZ and low-A Lake County.

Scouting Report: A converted 2B, Rodriguez’s calling card is his game-changing speed. He profiles as a true top of the order hitter who can get on base and then be a do some damage once he gets there, almost in the mold of a Kenny Lofton. Despite still learning how to read pitchers and get good jumps, Rodriguez has stolen an impressive 49 bases in his 122 career games. He doesn’t have much power, and really never profiles to hit even double-digit home runs regularly in the upper levels, but leadoff men like him are not easy to find. He has a quick, line-drive bat and can spray line drives all over the park. For his age and experience, he has a solid approach and knows how to take a walk. As an 18-year old in low-A Lake County last year, Rodriguez walked 14 times while striking out 36 in 148 at bats. Not a great ratio, but not bad for an 18-year old in his first taste of full-season ball.

Rodriguez is still learning the intricacies of outfield defense, and still needs to improve his reads and jumps on balls hit his way. His speed allows him to outrun his mistakes in the lower levels, but that’s not going to last forever. He is already a decent defender who projects to be plus once he gets some experience. He has a good arm, but not spectacular. No single tool other than his speed is really elite, but no tool other than power projects to be below average. When you put it all together, he’s an intriguing prospect with the potential to be a solid player at the big league level. Leadoff-hitting center fielders don’t grow on trees, and Rodriguez could potential be just that. He will likely play all of 2012 as a Lake County Captain, and will be one of the many players that makes that team a lot of fun to watch this year.

Glass Half-Full: An everyday CF who gets on base and disrupts the game with his speed
Glass Half-Empty: Zeke Carrera

9. Chen-Chang Lee, RHP 

DOB: 10/21/1986
Height/Weight: 5-11/175
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: International Free Agent in 2008
2011 Stats: 6-1, 1 SV, 2.40 ERA, 99 K, 23 BB in 71 1/3 IP between AA and AAA

Scouting Report: Lee has been one of the more dominant relievers in the system over the past few years, posting gaudy strikeout numbers across several levels of the minor leagues. In 227 1/3 career innings pitched, Lee has struck out an impressive 278 hitters. That averages out to an eye-popping 11 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. He’s given up just 0.6 HR/9 in his career, and has a 3.81 K/BB ratio. This isn’t a Cory Burns situation where he’s dominating minor league hitters with a deceptive motion; Lee has outstanding stuff to match those gaudy numbers.

Despite being less than 6 feet tall, Lee gets his fastball up to as high as 97 MPH, and sits comfortably between 92-94. He comes at hitters from a variety of arm angles, throwing anywhere from ¾ to a low sidearm slot. Because of this, his fastball can move in a variety of different ways depending on arm angle and grip. All of this, and his fastball isn’t even his best pitch. That would be his plus slider that has outstanding tilt and is almost unfair to righthanded batters. The pitch can buckle the knees of righties, and has made hitters look awfully foolish over the years.

In addition to the fastball and slider, Lee throws a sinker and a forkball/changeup. The change has good down action when he uses it, but isn’t as effective of a pitch as the slider. Lee is an alumni of the Taiwanese national team, starting for them from 2004-2008. His best start was a dominant outing against international powerhouse Cuba in 2006, going 8 1/3 innings, striking out 6 and allowing just 2 hits in a victory. Since coming stateside, Lee has pretty much exclusively been a reliever as 5’11” righties don’t typically get much of a chance to start. It’s working out well, as his stuff plays up in his relief role and the Indians have a great RP prospect in the pipeline.

Lee might have some trouble breaking in to a crowded Cleveland bullpen, and will likely start the season in AAA Columbus. But he’s the best righthanded reliever in the system, and should be the first guy called up in case of injury or ineffectiveness in the big league bullpen. Either way, he’s one of my favorite pitchers to watch, especially when he’s facing righthanded batters.

Glass Half-Full: A dominant backend reliever
Glass Half-Empty: A solid backend reliever

8. LeVon Washington, OF

DOB: 7/26/1991
Height/Weight: 5-11/175
Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Acquired: 2nd round pick in 2010
2011 Stats: .225/.340/.319 with 4 HR, 23 RBI and 16 SB in 307 AB in Rookie AZ and low-A

Scouting Report: Washington was a first round pick for Tampa Bay in 2009, but they couldn’t come to terms and he went back to college and ended up getting paid 1st round money to sign after the Indians took him in the 2nd round in 2010. Washington is an elite athlete, with outstanding speed and quick hands. He projects to have an above-average hit tool and at least gap power. He has a good feel for the strike zone, a solid approach and should be able to draw at least his share of walks. Coming out of college, he was garnering comparisons to Carl Crawford. Well, both he and Carl Crawford had similar seasons in 2011, and that’s not a good thing.

Both Crawford and Washington struggled with injuries and their swings in 2011. Both came into the season with high expectations, and neither managed to produce very much. Some scouts saw some issues with Washington’s swing, and it’s almost understandable that he struggled to find consistency in his first year using wood bats, especially considering all of the injuries. The tools are still there, but of course at some point the performance has to match up to the scouting reports and that just isn’t something that happened last year.
Washington’s defense projects to be solid, but never really plus. He has great speed and does a nice job running down balls in the outfield, but has had shoulder issues that will prevent him from ever having even an average arm. Because of that, he’ll never really have a chance to be an impact defender.

One of the complaints about Washington coming out of college is that he had a very relaxed attitude on the field, almost disinterested. To his credit, Washington has exhibited a great attitude his entire time with the Indians, and worked hard to rehab from his various injuries. Anyone with a twitter account is well aware that Washington is a bit of a showman, as his all caps tweets of #WASHITIME dominate our timelines. He even designed his own line of #WASHTIME t-shirts, had them made up and sent to some of his fans, all on his own dime. Interestingly though, Washington’s twitter account has been dark since his arrival in Goodyear in late January. It looks like he’s buckling down and doing everything he can to get ready for the upcoming season. He’s a potential breakout player in the system, as the talent is definitely there. He just needs a healthy year to put it all together, and I can’t wait to see what WASHTIME does in 2012. He’s fallen out of pretty much everyone’s organizational top-10 lists, but I’m going to keep him at #9 because I believe in the tools.

Glass Half-Full: 2010 Carl Crawford
Glass Half-Empty: 2011 Carl Crawford

7. Nick Hagadone, LHP

DOB: 1/1/1986
Height/Weight: 6-5/230
Bats/Throws: Left/Left
Acquired: As part of the Victor Martinez deal in 2009. Originally a 1st round sandwich pick of the Red Sox in 2007
2011 Stats: 11 IP, 11 K, 6 BB, 4.09 ERA at MLB, 71/77/22 2.79 between AA and AAA

Scouting Report: Hagadone is a big, strong, power lefty that has electric stuff. He’s drawn comparisons to Billy Wagner, only taller. That’s some pretty high praise. He worked his way from AA Akron all the way to the majors last year, featuring a plus fastball that sits comfortably in the mid-90’s and has touched 99. He pitches primarily off the fastball, and uses it to attack hitters and get ahead in the count. Then he can goes to his above-average to plus slider, a power pitch with sharp, late life. When Hagadone was still a starter, he was working on a changeup, but it’s a pitch that he only has to show on occasion to keep hitters honest not that he’s working exclusively out of the bullpen.

Hagadone was finally healthy last season, and it was his first season as a fulltime reliever. Now that he has some more experience pitching out of the bullpen and is sure of his role going forward, I expect big things out of Hagadone. He made huge strides in his command, going from 6.6 walks per 9 innings in 2010 all the way down to 2.8 in 2011. Hagadone of course had Tommy John surgery in 2008, so it seems like it just took a little while for his command and control to come all the way back to pre-surgery levels. If he can improve his slider command a little, it will go a long ways towards making Hagadone a dominant reliever at the major league level.

Hagadone should be one of three lefties in the bullpen mafia at the corner of Carnegie and Ontario this year, and by the end of the season he could end up being the most dominant of the three. While many people this offseason were suggesting that closer Chris Perez could be traded because Pestano would be ready to step in at closer, it might actually be Hagadone that projects to that role in the long-term.

Glass Half-Full: Hagadone ends up as a dominant closer in the majors
Glass Half-Empty: Hagadone ends up as a solid back-end reliever in the majors

6. Ronny Rodriguez, SS

DOB: 4/17/1992
Height/Weight: 6’/170 lbs
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: International Free Agent in 2010
2011 Stats: .246/.274/.449 with 11 HR, 42 RBI and 10 SB in 98 games for low-A Lake County

Scouting Report: When looking at Rodriguez’s batting line from 2011, you’re probably not blown away. In fact, you may be wondering why he’s ranked this high. Well, first, consider that Rodriguez put up that line in the difficult hitting environment of the Midwest League. Then consider that he did it as a 19-year old. Then bear in mind that he playing professional baseball for the first time ever. Now take another look at that line, especially the power, and understand that this is a kid with the defensive chops to stick at SS. Are you a little more impressed now?

Rodriguez has above-average raw power, and it’s already showing up in games with his 10 HR last year. He has extremely strong wrists and does a good job barreling the baseball on pitches in the zone. He needs to work on pitch recognition (as the .274 OBP indicates), but if he can refine his approach and lay off pitches outside the strike zone, he could become a scary-good hitter. Rodriguez walked just 13 times while striking out 83 in 370 AB last year, numbers that have to improve if he’s going to rise through the system. But again, this is a teenager who was getting his first taste of organized baseball and his first experience with professional pitching, so I’m confident he can adjust and improve.

Like his offense, Rodriguez’s defensive game is imperfect but promising. He has a cannon for an arm and made some spectacular plays at short last year, but still needs to work on the little things like properly circling behind the baseball to make on balance throws, and getting more consistent on the routine plays. He did make 38 errors in his 97 games at SS for the Captains. More than anything, Rodriguez just needs reps, as he’s as raw of a player as you will find in the system. He’ll likely play most of 2012 in high-A Carolina, another difficult league for hitters. A repeat of his 2011 stats with an improvement in the OBP would be a step in the right direction for the raw, toolsy youngster. He has the ability to be an all-star shortstop someday, but that is a long, long ways off.

Glass Half-Full: An all-star shortstop
Glass Half-Empty: He never plays above AA

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Cleveland Indians Prospect Countdown: #15-11

15.Jesus Aguilar, 1B
DOB:6/30/1990
Height/Weight:6-3/240
Bats/Throws:Right/Right
Acquired:International Free Agent in 2007
2011Stats: .284/.359/.506 with 23 HR and 82 RBI in 126 games between low-A and high-A

Scouting Report: Aguilar is a massive kid who looks much bigger than his listed 6’3”, 240lbs. He has light-tower raw power, and when he really gets into a pitch it can go a looong ways. He has as much raw power as anyone in the Indians minor league system, and last year it really started showing up in games. The Midwest League isn’t the most hitter-friendly environment, but the 21-year old Aguilar managed to put up some pretty impressive offensive numbers in his 95 games for the Captains, hitting .292/.370/.544 with 19 HR. Moved upto high-A Kinston and the equally pitcher-friendly Carolina League for the stretch run, Aguilar struggled a little. In 31 games for the K-Tribe, he hit.257/.323/.389 with just 4 HR. Losing .203 off of his OPS in the jump to high-A is concerning, but not a deal breaker in terms of his prospect standing due to the small sample size. His approach could use some work, as he walked 46 times against 126 strikeouts last year.

Aguilar does struggle with his pitch recognition, and has been susceptible to breaking balls down and out of the strike zone. He pounds fastballs up in the zone and excels when he can get his arms extended, but can sometimes get tied up on hard stuff up and in. He’s not unlike most young hitters in this respect, and it’s nothing that he can’t fix with a little effort. His hit tool projects to be no more than average at best, but his power should make up for it. Last year in spring training, he hit a couple of homeruns against the Reds that probably still haven’t landed. The Reds coaches were actually talking about a home run he had hit the day before as Aguilar was launching another ball into the stratosphere.

That’s the good news. The bad news is that if Aguilar’s bat falters, he doesn’t have anything to fall back on. His defense is already below average, and he’s only going to get less mobile as he gets older and bigger. As I said, he already looks bigger than his listed weight of 240,and he’s not going to get any smaller. But if his bat continues to mature, his subpar defense at 1st will be easy to overlook, and worst case scenario he ends up as a DH down the road.

Glass Half-Full: A middle of the order, TTO guy who plays a passable 1B
Glass Half-Empty: A TTO DH with an emphasis on the K outcome

14.Elvis Araujo, LHP

DOB:7/15/1991
Height/Weight:6-6/215
Bats/Throws:Left/Left
Acquired:InternationalFree Agent in 2007
2011Stats: 9-1 with a 3.36 ERA, with 63 K and 25 BB in 69 2/3IP between Rookie AZL and short-season Mahoning Valley

Scouting Report: Araujo has struggled with injuries over the past few years, but was finally healthy enough in 2011 to throw a pitch in a competitive game, something he hadn’t done since 2008. Araujo threw 57 tantalizing innings as a 16-year old with the Indians Dominican Summer league in 2008, then missed the 2009-2011 seasons with arm injuries. There was no reason to rush the big lefty back to action, as he won’t be old enough to legally order a beer in the states until this summer. He’s already had Tommy John surgery, which I suppose could be a positive if you consider the fact that he won’t ever need it again.

Araujo reminds a lot of people of C.C. Sabathia at age 20, both in appearance and stuff. He’s a big, strong lefty who sits consistently in the low-90’s with his fastball and can reach back for more. As you can imagine from his 6’6” frame, he has great action on the pitch from a nice downward plane. In addition to the plus fastball, he has a slider that flashes plus and could be a dominant pitch once he develops and refines it. His third pitch is a changeup that, put kindly, needs a lot of work. Araujo is nowhere near as refined as Sabathia was when he was pitching for the playoff-bound Indians as a 20-year old, but he’s still drawing those comparisons from some scouts. Araujo should have a shot to pitch most of the season at low-A Lake County, where he’ll join one of the more entertaining rotations in the entire system.

Glass Half-Full: Let’s get him healthy first
Glass Half-Empty: Seriously, a full season on the mound would be awesome at this point


13.Chun Chen, C

DOB:11/1/1988
Height/Weight:6-1/200
Bats/Throws:Right/Right
Acquired:InternationalFree Agent in 2007
2011Stats: .262/.330/.451 with 16 HR and 70 RBI in 113 games for AA Akron

Scouting Report: Chen is an impressive offensive catching prospect who still needs to work on his defense behind the dish. He broke out with a big year in 2010, a season that included an appearance in the MLB Futures Gameduring All-Star Weekend, but didn’t have quite as good of a season in 2011. He moved up to AA and had a solid, but not spectacular offensive season, posting a.781 OPS for the Aeros. After a 2010 where he posted a .924 OPS across two A levels, that was a bit of a disappointment. Still, Chen took some steps forward as a prospect.

Chen’s offense will always be the strongest aspect of his game. He has good bat speed and quick hands that get the bat through the hitting zone in a hurry. He has a nice, compact route to the ball and does a nice job keeping his hands inside the baseball and using all fields. His career minor league numbers are solid, with a line of .272/.357/.446 with 32 HR and173 RBI in 320 games from the complex leagues all the way up to AA. His approach took a bit of a hit last year, with 43 BB and 122 K in 467 AB.
English is not Chen’s 1st language, and he uses an interpreter to talk to the media but speaks the language well enough to interact with his teammates and pitching staff. Both his English and Spanishare both improving, and it’s something that Chen has really worked hard on in the past couple of years. When I saw him in spring training in 2009, he needed an interpreter when the coaching staff was working with him on the side. In 2011, he was receiving 1-on-1 instruction without the need for his interpreter, so it’s clear that he’s making strides on that front.

Chen’s biggest area in need of improvement is his defense behind the plate. He’s a converted third baseman, so he’s really only four years into his career as a catcher. He’s a good athlete and has a strong arm, so the potential for him to be at least an average defensive catcher is there. The issue is whether or not he’ll be able to fulfill that potential early enough to make an impact at the major league level. Chen allowed 18 passed balls in each of the last two seasons in 142 games behind the plate.That’s not an awful number, but it definitely needs to improve. His strong arm makes up for an average transition from catch to throw, and he’s caught 36% of would-be base stealers in his career. Numbers just can’t tell you how effective defensively a catcher is though, and Chen needs to improve his receiving and handling of pitchers in order to be an effective defensive catcher. But the strides he’s made in the last four years are extremely encouraging, and if he can continue to improve there’s no reason to think he can’t be average behind the dish.

Chen’s bat will play in the major leagues someday,but his prospect standing would take a pretty big hit if he weren’t a catcher.If he’s forced to move to 1B, the bat is just average whereas while he’s behind the dish it is borderline elite. Expect to see him back in AA Akron getting reps behind the dish early in 2012, but he should move up to AAA Columbus atsome point during the season.

Glass Half-Full: Alex Avila
Glass Half-Empty: You remember Max Ramirez, right?

12.Robel Garcia, SS/3B/2B

DOB:3/28/1993
Height/Weight:6/170
Bats/Throws:Switch/Right
Acquired:International Free Agent in 2010
2011Stats: .284/.371/.544 with 6 HR, 24 RBI and 7 SB in 45 games in the AZ Rookie League

Scouting Report: Just 18 years old for all of last season, Garcia showcased some impressive power in the Arizona Rookie League. In addition to his 6 HR, Garcia smoked 10 doubles and 8 triples to finish with his outstanding .544 SLG. He also featured some impressive patience for a young Dominican hitter, finishing with 23 BB. All in all, it added up to a solid .915 OPS for the youngster, a marked improvement over his .613 OPS in the same circuit in 2010.

Garcia has quick, strong hands and projects to have above-average power. His hit tool projects to be at least average, and when you combine all of that with an above-average eye and an advanced approach at the plate, the Indians could really have something on the offensive side of the ball. He’s at least an average runner right now, but that could potentially decrease as he fills out and puts on more weight.

Scouts don’t really see Garcia sticking at SS long-term, but he should be at least an average defender at 2B or 3B. He has a strong arm, so could easily end up at the hot corner. But if he can play 2B, his bat would really play up there, and would be great to see him at second base down the road. He could be an above-average offensive infielder down the road, but we’re an awfully long ways from that as he won’t turn 19 until spring training is nearly over. He’ll likely stick around Arizona once camp breaks, and make his debut for short-season Mahoning Valley.

Glass Half-Full: A first-division starter at 2B or 3B
Glass Half-Empty: A lot can happen between 18 years old and The Show

11.Felix Sterling, RHP
DOB:3/15/1993
Height/Weight:6-3/200
Bats/Throws:Right/Right
Acquired:International Free Agent in 2009
2011Stats: 4-6, 4.12 ERA, 66 K and 33 BB in 67 2/3 IP

Scouting Report: Sterling is a strong, power righty who has a lot of potential but is also extremely raw. He’s already a pretty big guy, but has a projectable frame and will likely fill out and develop even more muscle on his frame. He has a plus fastball, and he sets everything up with that pitch. His fastball sits comfortably in the low-to-mid 90’s, and it’s his best pitch at this stage of his development. He also has a developing slider that flashes plus, and should be his out pitch once he refines the command and movement. The key to Sterling becoming an effective starter long-term is his changeup, which would be the third pitch in his repertoire.

Sterling struggled a little when he stepped up to low-A Lake County last year. He had 9 starts for the Captains, going 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA, 35 K and 25 BB in 41 1/3 IP. It was the first time in his career that he struck out less than a batter per inning, and his 5.4 BB/9 ratio was especially concerning. Then again, he was an 18-year old in his first taste of full season ball, so maybe it’s nothing to worry about. Still, it bears monitoring going forward, as command was one of the things he needed to work on heading into last season. He’ll likely begin the 2012 season in the Lake County rotation as a 19-year old, and will be a fun guy to watch pitch this year.

Glass Half-Full: Sterling has the stuff and body type to be a #2 starter in the show
Glass Half-Empty: He’s a long ways off, and needs to refine his command and develop his changeup first

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Cleveland Indians Prospect Countdown: #20-16


20. T.J. McFarland, LHP
DOB: 6/8/1989
Height/Weight: 6-3/210
Bats/Throws: Left/Left
Acquired: 4th round draft pick in 2007
2011 Stats: 9-10, 3.74 ERA with 115 K and 51 BB in 149 1/3 innings pitched between high-A and AA

Scouting Report: Drafted out of a California high school in June of 2007, McFarland is a ground ball connoisseur. He doesn’t have overpowering strikeout stuff, but does a tremendous job pitching to contact and excels at letting hitters get themselves out. He probably has the best sinker in the system outside of the major league club, a two-seam, sinking fastball that consistently sits in the low-90’s. The pitch helped him post an outstanding 2.49 GO/AO average last year in his 149 1/3 innings of work between Kinston and Akron. In addition to the sinking fastball, McFarland throws a slider and a changeup. The slider is further along than the changeup at this point, but both pitches project to be at least average. McFarland commands his fastball well within the strikezone, keeping it down and consequently keeping the ball in the ballpark. He faced 638 hitters last year, and allowed just 11 home runs.

Coming up through the system, McFarland has been remarkably consistent thus far in his career. In his three full years in the system, he’s posted ERAs of 3.58, 3.38 and 3.74, K/9 rates of 6.3, 6.7 and 6.9 and BB/9 rates of 3.1, 2.9 and 3.1. Clearly, moving up the rungs of the organizational ladder has yet to phase McFarland. After his solid 2011 campaign, McFarland was selected as the Indians starting pitcher in the elite Arizona Fall League. The AFL has always been known as more of a hitters league, and I thought there was a chance that McFarland could struggle in the thin desert air against some of the top hitters in minor league baseball. Those fears proved to be completely unfounded, as McFarland went 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his 8 appearances for the Phoenix Desert Dogs. He threw 28 1/3 innings, striking out 22 and walking 13. He put up a predictably solid 2.11 GO/AO rate, and gave up more than 2 ER in just one of his starts. It was an impressive performance for the 22-year old, similar to the solid AFL campaign that propelled Scott Barnes to his breakout 2011 season with the Columbus Clippers.

McFarland is an easy guy to like. He’s a smart pitcher who does a nice job keeping hitters off balance, and gets consistently solid results despite not having overwhelming stuff. He’s a tremendous competitor who really bears down and is able to come up with big pitches in tough situations. He won’t turn 23 until midway through the 2012 season, and should pitch most if not all of the year at AAA Columbus. He’s ahead of schedule in his rise through the organization, so there’s really no reason to push him too aggressively this season. He’s not going to be a dominant strikeout guy at the front of a rotation, but can definitely be a Jake Westbrook type of guy who goes out and gives you 200 solid innings, keeping the ball in the ballpark and giving the club a chance to win every time out. You won’t find him on any of the national writer’s top-100 prospects lists, but that doesn’t mean he’s not going to be a useful piece of a big league team down the road.

Glass Half-Full: A workhorse middle of the rotation starter
Glass Half-Empty: A workhorse back of the rotation starter

19. Trey Haley, RHP
DOB: 7/21/1990
Height/Weight: 6-3/180
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: 2nd round pick in 2008
2011 Stats: 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA, 44 K and 25 BB in 41 1/3 IP between low-A Lake County and high-A Kinston

Scouting Report: Haley has one of the best arms in the system, as he has one of the rare arms that can touch triple-digits. The two-seamer sits comfortably in the mid-90s, and in addition to the plus-plus velocity it has good movement as well, with nice arm-side run. It’s a major league quality pitch right now, and the 21-year old Haley can get plenty of outs at the minor league level pitching off nothing but the fastball. It’s easy velocity from a clean, easily repeatable delivery. Haley is a tall kid but still has some filling out to do, and there’s a possibility that he could pick up even more velocity as he adds strength. He also throws a four-seam fastball that gives him a different look, but it doesn’t have as much movement as the two-seamer.

In addition to the plus heater, Haley has an above-average curveball that flashes plus and is developing a changeup. The curve is almost 20 MPH slower than his fastball, and has good break and depth. The change is behind the curve in terms of development, and he’s still trying to get a feel for the pitch. It’s something he just needs to throw more of, which is tough because he can get hitters out with just his fastball/curveball combo. Developing that changeup though will be key in his development, and without it he’s not going to be able to remain in the rotation.

Haley had some injury issues early last year, pulling his groin muscle in spring training and dealing with the injury off and on for most of the season. Because of the slow start to his season, Haley worked almost exclusively out of the bullpen in 2011. His already-outstanding stuff played up even more in the shorter stints, and he really could be an impact reliever. However, you don’t put stuff like that into the bullpen until you have to, so Haley will be given every opportunity to start. He’s had some control issues in the past, issuing 183 walks in 240 1/3 career innings pitched. If he can harness his stuff and command his fastball more effectively, he’s a starter for sure. If not, he’ll be an impact reliever down the road. He’ll likely start off back in the Carolina League with the Mudcats, but look for him to move quickly to Akron if he’s healthy.

Glass Half-Full: A #2 starter in the show
Glass Half-Empty: A power closer with no changeup

18. Dorssys Paulino, SS
DOB: 11/21/1994
Height/Weight: 6-0/175
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: International Free Agent in 2011
2011 Stats: DNP

Scouting Report: Paulino was the Indians’ big money signing out of the Dominican Republic in the last year that big money signings in the international market will be an option. He was seen as one of the top players in the Dominican, and the Indians shelled out $1.1 million to bring him stateside. His bat is considered his main tool, and he projects to have average to above-average power and a plus hit tool.

Paulino’s defense is solid, but there are questions as to whether he’ll be able to stick at SS in the long term. Even if he can’t, his bat will play at 2B or 3B, so a position change won’t degrade his prospect standing too much. He has good speed, a strong arm, and good baseball instincts. He’s also extremely young and extremely raw, and probably won’t play anywhere but the complex leagues in 2012. Paulino is obviously one of the players I’ve never seen in person, and I’m really looking forward to getting a look at him this spring in Goodyear.

Glass Half-Full: He could be an all-star infielder
Glass Half-Empty: He could never play above AA

17. Jake Lowery, C
DOB: 7/21/1990
Height/Weight: 5-10/200
Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Acquired: 4th round pick in 2011
2011 Stats: .245/.377/.415 with 6 HR and 43 RBI in 29 games for Mahoning Valley

Scouting Report: Lowery was the Johnny Bench Award winner coming out of James Madison University in Virginia, given to the nation’s top collegiate catcher. He put up huge numbers at JMU last year, hitting .359 with 24 HR and 91 RBI. The number that really stands out there is the 24 HR in a year when homers were down across the board with the new bats in college. He was voted as the top defensive catcher in the Colonial League by opposing coaches, but defense is not seen as his strong suit. He has impressive power from the left side, an average hit tool and a strong arm. He’s considered an offense-oriented catcher who needs to make some strides defensively if he’s going to be a starter in the major leagues.

Lowery signed early enough to get some significant time with short-season Mahoning Valley last year. Hitting mostly in the cleanup spot, Lowery went for a line of .245/.377/.415 with 6 HR and 43 RBI in 69 games. That line is a little deceiving though, as Lowery seemed to wear down over the long season. Remember, he was playing in 69 games AFTER his lengthy college season, and at the physically demanding position of catcher. He had an OPS of .951 in June, before falling to .766 in July and then down to .715 in August. He hit 5 of his 6 home runs in June and July, and drove in 29 of his 43 runs in those first two months of the New York-Penn League season. He was named to the NYPL all-star team, and finished 3rd on the team in OPS. So while his numbers don’t jump off the page at you, there’s still an awful lot to like about his performance in his professional debut last season.

Lowery is a good athlete and has a good chance to improve behind the plate. He has a plus arm, and just needs to tighten up his mechanics a little to quicken his release and improve his footwork. Even if he turns into just an average defensive catcher, his bat should propel him to the show. Worst case, he’s an offense oriented backup. He will likely play most of 2012 in low-A Lake County, with a shot to move up to Carolina if he really lights up the Midwest League.

Glass Half-Full: An offense-oriented starting catcher
Glass Half-Empty: An offense-oriented backup catcher

16. Cord Phelps, 2B
DOB: 1/23/1987
Height/Weight: 6-2/200
Bats/Throws: Switch/Right
Acquired: 3rd round pick in 2008
2011 Stats: .155/.241/.254 with 1 HR and 6 RBI in 71 AB for Cleveland; .294/.376/.434 with 14 HR and 63 RBI in 97 games with AAA Columbus

Scouting Report: Phelps got off to a good start for AAA Columbus in 2011, with 7 home runs and an OPS over .900 on June 1. In early June, Phelps was rewarded with a promotion to the big club to augment a struggling Orlando Cabrera at second base. Phelps struggled in inconsistent playing time, and other than a walk-off HR he didn’t do much to make his stay in Cleveland memorable. He struggled both at the plate and in the field, and ended up getting sent back down to Columbus after less than a month in Cleveland. Phelps ended up back in Cleveland when rosters expanded in September, but by then Jason Kipnis had moved in to his spot as the 2B of the future in Cleveland and Phelps’ playing time remained inconsistent and his struggles continued.

Phelps is a switch-hitter who loads his hands very low in his stance, and starts out a little hunched over at the plate. Because of that, he has a very level swing and the bat spends a lot of time in the hitting zone. This helps him barrel the ball consistently, and he has an above-average hit tool from both sides of the plate. He has gap power, and projects to be a guy who can hit 10-18 home runs over a full season. He has a solid approach and good on-base skills, and has been among the organizational leaders in walks over the past few years. In his 382 game minor league career, Phelps has a line of .288/.376/.434 with 28 HR and 192 RBI. He’s a below-average defender, but can play a passable 2B or 3B.

Despite his struggles at the big league level in 2011, I still think that Phelps can be a solid utility infielder in the show. He looked overwhelmed at times in 2011, but the raw talent and tools are still there. His path to a position with the Indians is pretty well blocked though, with Jason Kipnis firmly entrenched at 2B, Lonnie Chisenhall seemingly ready to take over at 3B, and Jason Donald already playing the role of utilityman. One thing that is playing in his favor is the fact that he’s a switch hitter, as the lefty-laden Indians could use another stick from the right side in the lineup or off the bench. Still, he’ll likely begin 2012 back in AAA Columbus, where he will bide his time until injury, ineffectiveness or a trade comes along.

Glass Half-Full: An offense-oriented utility guy at 2B and 3B
Glass Half-Empty: What we saw in 2011