Standing at the Edge of Happiness

So much happening, so little time.
Ken Rosenthal lists the Indians among the big winners this off-season, then throws the Rockies’ Jamey Carroll as a name to remember for the Tribe utility spot.

Next, the Tribe signs Cliff Politte, adding another arm to the bullpen mix, further clouding the 7th bullpen spot battle.
But there’s plenty of time for analysis and roster breakdown. Trust me, lots more coming.

For now, let’s celebrate some frivolity.
Why?
Because…we made it.

Pitchers and Catchers report tomorrow and all is good in the world, despite shoveling all day long. As a bit of a reward, here’s the latest round of the popular “Soundtrack of Life” to further whet your palate.

In case you’re new to the site, here’s last year’s edition, which essentially makes suggestions as to the entrance music for Tribe players. I was able to link them to YouTube clips (although Viacom’s wishes made it an exercise in creativity), so you can click on the player and song title’s name to hear the song in case you aren’t familiar.

And with that introduction out of the way, away we go:
Sizemore – Superhero
Not only does Grady lead a charmed life, like the boys in “The Adventures of Ari Gold”…I mean “Entourage”, but he’s developing a Vinnie Chase-like following with the ladies. The fact that the song is called “Superhero” fits the SuperSizemore persona and I could see him hanging with Turtle, E, and Johnny Drama over a few Dortmunders at Great Lakes.

Dellichaels – Endless Love
Two hearts…two hearts that beat as one. As Dellucci and Michaels try to combine do the work of one man by platooning in LF, one can only think of Diana and Lionel. Or the two in the video linked, which is a must-watch.

Pronk – Bulls on Parade
Regardless of whether Hafner in the field is like a bull in a china shop, have you ever seen the big guy walk up to the Batter’s Box? He’s like a bull, lowering his head, charging toward another extra-base hit. Plus, the guitar riff from Rage rules.

Victor – My Hips Don’t Lie
Since the salsa song that The Stick’s been coming out to for the past few years has become tiresome, it’s time to get some different Latin flavor for him. Since I recently found out that Jon Secada is no longer considered “HOT” in the Latin scene, it gave me an excuse to do some searches of Shakira…hours later, I give you the linked treat.

Blake – Seven Nation Army
The White Stripes’ simple opening riff on this one can get you fired up for just about anything. The addition of the drums is simple and amazing. All of that aside, I would have Casey (the Wichita State Shocker) come out to the verse starting, “I went to Wichita…”

Nixon – Rambo Theme
If Lou Merloni can come out to “The Godfather” score (and he did), then Trotman can come out to the memorable “First Blood” score (the horns in the clip, not the song). I’ll go with that or that classic exchange between Richard Crenna and Brian Dennehy regarding the availability of body bags in the Pacific Northwest.

Marte – Andy, You’re a Star
As long as they don’t play the line after “Andy, You’re a Star” from The Killers (which is “…in nobody’s eyes but yours”), it works for the Dominican Dandy.

Peralta – My Mind is Playing Tricks on Me
I like to think that last year’s regression for Jhonny was between his ears and easily fixed. Perhaps after waving at another breaking ball low and away he would go home to “sit alone in a four-corner room staring at candles”. Oh, that thing is on?

Barfield – Numb/Encore
Still one of the all-time faves, particularly the version from the 2006 Grammys. Hopefully Barfield won’t succumb to a Peraltaesque sophomore slump and provide us with an encore of his rookie season…because we do want more.

Garko – Tuff Enuff
Chosen because it has to be the question that Garko asks himself after producing on the ML level (45 RBI in 50 games) and hearing that he still needs to earn his roster spot, mainly for defensive purposes. Though I can't find the old “NBA Superstars” video, which included some classic Mark Price highlights, the linked video is pretty good, particularly with the Bateman siblings cameo.

Sabathia – Mo’ Money, Mo’ Problems
Hopefully, whenever the ol’ Crooked Cap takes the bump, he’ll allow the words of Puff and Biggie (or these guys in the video) to seep in and forget about that big payday that’s coming in the fall of 2008. Hopefully, he’ll realize that he has it pretty good on the North Coast (when people aren’t booing him without reason or questioning the Hefty Lefty’s conditioning), and sign on that dotted line. We can dream…can’t we?

Lee – Finish What You Started
The master of the “5 and Fly” needs to heed the words from the Red Rocker and give the Indians a little more than his standard 6th inning meltdown. A complete game may be too much to ask, but maybe pitching into the 7th…or dare I say, the 8th?

Westbrook – State of Love and Trust
Like Carsten Charles, a song focusing on some level of comfort to keep him in the friendly confines of the Jake for a few more years can accompany Westbrook during his warm-up. If he comes out to Pink Floyd’s “Money”, I’ll start to explore trade options myself.

Sowers – Footprints by Miles Davis
Like the smoothness and unpredictability of Miles, Sowers makes beautiful music on the mound – even if you can’t figure out how he makes it so beautiful. Last year, Sowers was be-bopping and scatting all over the American League, using a plan of keeping everyone guessing as the basis of his genius. I don’t know if the kid from St. Clairsville is quite the epitome of cool yet, but his quiet demeanor and success certainly give an air of confidence from the mound.

Byrd – Time Intro by Pink Floyd
The ringing bells and ticking clocks that lead into the song will serve as a subtle reminder that there are arms in AAA vying to take his place if he starts 2007 like he did in 2006 – slowly. Tick, tock…tick, tock.

Foulke – Leash
I know that he comes out to Danzig’s “Mother”, but the fact that Eddie sings about him in this PJ tune makes the cut. You know that part - “Drop the Leash, Drop the Leash…Get Out of Keith’s Foulkin’ Face”.
Wait, what does he say then?

Borowski – Just Dropped In
How the fact that Borowski’s name is only 3 letters off that of Jeff Daniels’ classic character of “The Dude” evaded me for this long is surprising. But the mellifluous tones of Kenny Rogers can accompany The Big Borowski to the mound. A video screen showing flying bowling pins and Bob the Beer Guy bringing me a Caucasian in the Mezzanine would complete the perfection.

Cabrera – Slow Ride
It has been a slow ride for Cabrera to fulfill his potential as the future closer of the club. So, until he captures that magic in his right arm and translates it into the 9th inning, he is cursed with “Slow Ride”.

Betancourt – Patience
Tug the cap…adjust the sleeve…tug the cap…look in for the sign…tug the cap…reposition the jock…tug the cap…blow in the hand…tug the cap.
You get the idea.

The players aren’t alone in their need for some tone-setting tunes.
Here’s what I would suggest at certain times in ballgames:
Going into the 9th Inning behind – Win in the End
That’s right, if Scott Howard (as Scott Howard and not the Wolf) can beat Mick’s team, isn’t anything possible? Please click the link for one of the greatest MySpace pages ever.

After a Loss – Even the Losers
Think of the other team, congratulating each other on the field, when someone finally stops, listens, and asks, “Are they really playing this?” The look on those jerks’ faces would be worth the price of admission.

After a Win – Another One Bites the Dust
How great would it be if the Atomic Wedgie leapt out of the dugout to congratulate the team, taking his Tribe jacket off to reveal...the same yellow tank top that Freddie Mercury wears in the clip? Well, pretty great.

Spring Training is here and we have lots to discuss.
For now, in the immortal words of Clark W. Griswold, “we made it, dammit, we made it.”

Slow Sunday

Very little on a Lazy Sunday (the day after a Bachelor Party Saturday...after which I would highly recommend the new Corner Alley on Fourth and Euclid, among other stops), with Shelden Ocker weighing in on the off-season additions and the Central and a prickly Hoynesie opening the mailbag.

In case you missed it, the Indians were ranked 2nd in FoxSports.com’s Dayn Perry’s initial Power Rankings. Before you get too excited, remember ESPN.com had the Tribe at #1 at the end of the 2005 season. Captain Obvious told me that the key with these Power Rankings, obviously, is to be that high a little later in the season…or at least after Spring Training opens.

In a similar vein, last week I mentioned that my friend dropped an Andy Jackson down for me on the Indians’ to win the World Series while in Vegas watching the Super Bowl.
As a point of interest, here are the current World Series Odds:
Yankees – 7 to 2
Tigers – 5 to 1
Mets – 8 to 1
White Sox – 8 to 1
Cubs – 9 to 1
Red Sox – 10 to 1
Cardinals – 10 to 1
Angels – 10 to 1
Dodgers – 14 to 1
Phillies – 15 to 1
Blue Jays – 15 to 1
Giants – 20 to 1
Twins – 20 to 1
A’s – 20 to 1
Padres – 30 to 1
Indians – 30 to 1
Astros – 40 to 1
Braves – 40 to 1
Rangers – 50 to 1
Brewers – 50 to 1
Reds – 50 to 1
Marlins – 60 to 1
Diamondbacks – 60 to 1
Mariners – 100 to 1
Rockies – 100 to 1
Orioles – 100 to 1
Pirates – 200 to 1
Nationals – 200 to 1
Royals – 500 to 1
Devil Rays – 500 to 1

For reference’s sake, going into 2006, St. Louis was 7 to 1 and the Tigers were 75 to 1 (Tribe was 15 to 1). 30 to 1 looks like a pretty good value pick to me.

Let’s see it boys, put your money down.

Straight from the Horse's Mouth

This week’s “Tribe Report” on STO featured an interview with Peter Gammons, who talked exclusively about the Indians. It’s rare that Gammons addresses one particular team and its players, without using the context of the whole league, so his comments are interesting to hear. Here’s what the man who graces the $20 bill had to say:

A Team Overview
The Indians have in Sizemore and Hafner, legitimate stars. But, the depth that they now have, with Blake and Dellucci and Michaels, that they have enough depth now that they can overcome injuries. And they have so much young pitching coming along. I love that they went out and got Foulke and Borowski to add some veteran presence so that when Cabrera and Miller and some of their young pitchers come along they have much more of a safety net than they did last year.

On Bullpens
I always point out that of the last 6 World Champions, the only team that ended up winning it that knew who it’s closer was on May 1st was Boston in 2004 with Foulke. Adam Wainwright never had a save opportunity in his entire life until September 10th and he ended up being up perfect in the postseason. So, bullpen is the easiest position in baseball to develop. The Indians have so many great arms, so even if Foulke and Borowski aren’t there in September, what they may do is provide a cushion so a guy like Cabrera or Carmona could end up the closer.

On T-Crowe
The guy that people talk most about around baseball is Trevor Crowe. Last year, when Akron was playing Portland in the Eastern League playoffs, two members of the Red Sox Front Office called me on their drive back from Portland to tell me about this incredible catch he made…and they started calling him Ty Cobb. That’s the way he plays, kind of “spikes high”, and plays hard all the time. That’s his nickname, that’s what they call him in the Red Sox Front Office – Ty Cobb.

On Sowers
The guy that’s been one of my favorites for a long time, since I got to know him when he pitched in the Cape Cod League is Jeremy Sowers. I think he’s going to be great. He’s got a presence, but he also really understands pitching and he really understands what scouting reports are about. It’s always been said that he’ll be better in the Major Leagues than he was in the Minors because he can take a game plan and execute it better than most because he’s so much more intelligent.

On the AL Central
I think that the Indians and Tigers are probably the favorites, but I like the Indians because of their depth. I like the Tigers a lot, but my question would be how much will a Justin Verlander, who never pitched more than 130 innings in his life, come back and try to pitch 200 innings this year. This is a very good division. The Yankees’ Brian Cashman told me the other day that everyone in the national media still focuses on the Yankees and Red Sox, but that he could easily see the World Champion come out of the American League Central.

Great stuff from Sweet Pete, as usual.
The thing that sets Gammons apart is that he’s an insider, but never tries to pass off the observations as his own. He always says what the scouts and executives are saying to him, which makes us obviously jealous of him and his influence while marveling at his humility and enthusiasm.

After hearing his insight (which was sorely missed while he was ill last year), it reminded me how good baseball talk can be. So, now can someone tell the folks at ESPN that a desk of Ravech, Gammons, Kurkjian, and Gwynn (or Hershiser or another cerebral player long on steak and short on sizzle) are preferable to the ridiculousness of Kruk and Steve Phillips?
It will make my summer much more enjoyable.

Also, here’s some news that should be celebrated on the same level as signing the likes of Pronk or C.C. to a contract extension.

The Boob Tube

Living in Cleveland, this whole DirecTV-MLB Extra Innings deal went under the radar as I’m assured of seeing all Tribe games on STO. Not so for fans outside of Northeast Ohio.

With that in mind, it’s time for a guest column from serial poster Cy Slapnicka addressing how MLB’s new TV venture looks like the latest example of MLB teams looking like the figures on an Electric Football Game, nobody knows where they’re going or where anyone is else is going, with no semblance of an overall plan or any sort of foresight.

With that, I present the comments of an expatriate Indians fan, living in Chicago:
So, in case you haven’t heard.... MLB is talking about selling exclusive rights for the Extra Innings baseball package to DirecTV. This does not affect Indians fans living in Cleveland, but for those of us who live throughout the country; this is like telling us there is no Santa Claus. I know the NFL does this, so some of you may not think it is a big deal. However, if you want to watch a Browns game, you can easily head to your local watering hole and watch them lose once a week. With the Indians, I don’t think any of our wallets, waistlines, livers, or marriages could handle 162 games a year at the bar. Nor do any of us want to be forced to leave our own friendly confines to do catch a game.
I’ve done a bit of investigating and this is what I’ve found out thus far:

• The team owns the rights to their games broadcast within their viewing area. So for the Indians, this is basically a big chunk of real estate around Ohio and a few surrounding states. The Indians own the ability to broadcast their games within that area.
  
• MLB owns the rights to games outside of that area. So, the right to broadcast an Indians vs. Orioles game in Denver would be owned by MLB. What this means is, even if you can get SportsTime Ohio in Denver, you cannot see the game. That is because MLB has decided that if you are outside of a team’s viewing area, you can only see their games on National broadcasts or on Extra Innings.
  
• WGN and TBS are considered “national” networks and have special agreements (made years ago) honored by MLB that allow them to broadcast Cubs and Braves games, respectively.
  
• Networks such as STO, YES, NESN, and the Fox Sports regionals are considered “regional” networks. Regional networks are not allowed to broadcast games outside of the MLB approved viewing area for that team. Basically, I can get STO through Dish Network in Chicago, however all Indians games would be blacked out.
  
• DirecTV does not even carry STO as a regional sports channel nationwide, as Dish Network does.
  
• Congress is investigating MLB and DirecTV and whether they will be allowed to only provide Extra Innings via DirecTV. Obviously this is interesting, as the NFL has not drawn much attention with their deal. However, I feel MLB is so dysfunctional; they deserve to be embarrassed on Capitol Hill…. even though our government has more important things to do.
  
• The current deal is rumored to be for $700 million over 7 years. This would be the rights to the Extra Innings package. MLB would also get a cut from each package sold, not sure how much.
  

I feel forcing consumers to use DirecTV (where MLB plans to launch its own channel by 2009) is a big mistake. There are three rational reasons I can see for signing up for this package:
1) You are a bar
2) You live outside your favorite team’s viewing area
3) You are a huge fan of all things MLB.

Now, most bars already use DirecTV, so the $700M is not well spent getting them to sign up. They will use DirecTV and buy the package even if Comcast or Time Warner Cable carries the package. And I am guessing that very few people exist that would sign up for DirecTV and the package because they can’t get enough MLB games. So again, a waste of money by DirecTV and MLB would seem to be limiting their market for the package.

So basically, you have to assume they are targeting people that are huge fans, but do not live in their home team’s viewing area. People like me. And this does not include Braves or Cubs fans, as most of their games are broadcast nationally. Same for teams like the Red Sox and Yankees, as they receive an awful lot of national coverage as games of the week, Wednesday night baseball, etc.

I have a number of problems with their approach to this and it shows they don’t understand people like me. And I also wonder how any MLB team can allow this to happen…. my beloved Indians or anyone else besides the Cubs, Braves, Yankees, or Red Sox.
Force me to switch to DirecTV? Not likely. I used to have DirecTV and life was grand. The NFL package was free the first year, I had TiVo, and the free premium channels were for a few months (i.e. Cinemax at 2am).

Then I got used to service interruptions whenever a storm hit. I called their customer support and realized how poor they were. (As an example, one time I called I was passed on to the “third”, and presumably more advanced, level of technical support and the phone line went dead. When I called back, I was told there was no “third” level of customer support). Eventually, my DirecTivo died and I was forced to buy a new one at a hefty cost, as there is no “rental” equipment like with Dish or cable companies. I then found out they phased out the Tivo interface for their DVR and went with their own DVR interface that was not nearly as good.

What incentive do I have to sign up for DirecTV? All of these problems, the requirement that you have a dish on your dwelling, have a line of sight to the Southern sky, cannot package your service with Internet and phone, and get an often times inferior HD package…just for MLB games?
No thanks. Fans are going to love this money grab.

I basically have two choices if I want the games. I can either not switch to DirecTV on principal OR sign up for the service in Cleveland just to stick it to MLB and DirecTV. Think about it, I sign up for DirecTV or even better DISH NETWORK in Cleveland and take the equipment to Chicago and install it at home. All my network programming will be the same AND at the same time, sans local news and broadcasts. I get Indians games AND Browns games (not sure if that is beneficial to my sanity) for FREE and I get STO’s other programming. If I really miss my local news and any other local programming (Oprah 5x’s a day), I can get an over-the-air antenna for HD. If you live in the Eastern or Central time zone, this solution for Indians games would work. And there is the added bonus of Dick Goddard and Wooly Bear Festival updates.

The me-first aspect of this aside, I have a serious problem with MLB doing this in general. There are a number of issues I’ll touch on:
First and foremost, how much money are they really going to make? If the $700 million number is split evenly among 30, that comes out to $2.3 million a year for 7 years. Wow, we can sign a utility infielder…. thanks Bud Selig. The competitive balance has been restored. Seriously, they sold their souls for a 5th OF. And when I say “they”, I mean MLB and the owners as a collective group. They may get a decent chunk of change for subscriptions, depending how the money is broken down between teams and DirecTV, but how much really? Apparently, enough to destroy lots of goodwill. And how many subscriptions will they lose from their current model of allowing many providers to offer Extra Innings? It would be interesting to see the numbers, as will the $700 million be enough to offset the decrease in subscriptions from cable and Dish sources over the next 10 years? Will it offset any loss of fans that occurs?

And secondly, IF they are going to tell consumers how they must consume their product, can they at least be innovative? Or perhaps do something that will make it worth my trouble to do what they say? For instance, with this model…DirecTV directly competes with MLB.tv. Does that make sense? Who knows if MLB.tv will continue with the new agreement, but I have a revolutionary idea for Bud Selig. Al Gore invented the Internet at least 10 years ago. Why not package MLB to cable, satellite, and Internet companies. I live in Chicago. Comcast and RCN are the big cable companies and, of course, Dish and DirecTV are satellite. They all offer some form of bundled cable, Internet, and phone services. All things being roughly equal, what if one of them had an MLB package that got me access to Extra Innings, the regional sports networks I want, online access to MLB.tv, and the mlb.com game day audio? I would happily switch to that provider yesterday. I wouldn’t care if I were buying my services from Bin Laden Communications and directly funding evildoers. I’d pay top dollar for this package, as I’m obviously not spending my discretionary income on season tickets at the Jake or Browns games. I’d pay much more than the approximately $200 DirecTV will charge me for Extra Innings only.

If the DirecTV deal does go through, I just hope they have enough sense to give Extra Innings subscribers access to the XM broadcasts. For those that didn’t know, XM radio is broadcast on DirecTV music stations…. but DirecTV currently does not provide access to the XM stations that broadcast all MLB games. And the XM discussion raises another point. Do they lack the foresight to see where communications and the Internet are going? They have a contract with XM radio for 10 years. What kind of recourse does XM radio have when people are able to connect to the Internet in their cars, from personal devices such as PDAs, phones, and iPods? MLB.com is currently offering online audio broadcasts, the same as XM. I don’t know about you, but I’d rather sign up for the MLB.com one if I could listen anywhere.

Another thing I don’t get with this deal is, why are the owners allowing this to happen? There are a number of factors that would seem to make this a bad deal. First of all, TBS and WGN are “national” networks and are allowed to continue to broadcast their games nationally? So, MLB has a deal with the groups that own the Braves and Cubs allows them to air their games across the country on cable channels owned by that same ownership group? How is that fair? No doubt they can use some of that cable revenue to support their team (even if the Cubs aren’t so good at that part).

What is interesting, STO is considered a regional sports network. So are YES, NESN, and the Fox Regional Sports Networks. With the Dolan family connection to Cablevision and Steinbrenner having more money than God, what is to stop them from creating a new “national” network and putting their games on it? All they’d need is a few Seinfeld reruns and a few old movies and they’d be another TBS. I know it takes more than that and they’d need to get providers to pick up the network, but they’d theoretically be able to do something. Well, MLB would prevent that. According to MLB, the only people allowed to do that are the Cubs and Braves. I would have a serious problem with that if I were the owner of another team.

Another point that brings up is how they figure out the revenue sharing percentages from Extra Innings. Do the Cubs deserve any of that revenue, when it is quite likely exactly ZERO Cubs fans purchase the Extra Innings package? What about the Braves?

And the owners have also invested a lot of money in their regional cable networks (at least the owners that own one). I’m sure it is hard to get those networks picked up by satellite providers and cable providers outside your team’s market when they can’t broadcast games. The Yankees have a distinct advantage over the Tribe due to their large fan base, but why not help all your teams out here? Why not use some of the negotiating power during this deal to ensure that DirecTV carries ALL MLB team regional sports networks? That way your fans have a good reason to sign up AND you are helping your owners out. If you aren’t going to allow those teams to broadcast their games across the country, at least allow their fans to get some of the other content they do want…such as minor league games, news about the team, spring training shows, etc.

And finally, if MLB is going to be ignoring the “regional” networks, can they at least provide some better content? At least the NFL provides a channel. It’s not great and it was an evil move to put games on it, but at least they have good content. Heck, at least they have a channel. And if this deal is struck, can you at least mandate that by a certain date all games will be in HD? This is a multi-billion dollar industry; can we at least see it ALL in HD? Is that too much to ask? If you cannot broadcast all games in HD, you deserve to be demoted to AAA.

And while this money grab is occurring, why not package the online broadcasts with advertising too? I’m sure there are agreements in place, but I’m also sure they can figure out a way to squeeze more money out this.At the end of the day, I think this shows just how weak MLB is from a unified ownership perspective. Can you imagine the NFL owners collectively allowing the Cowboys and Giants to have their own national networks on which their games were broadcast, where they were able to generate additional revenue, while everyone else was restricted by their viewing area. They can’t handle drugs, they can’t handle the players union, and they institute stupid rules like the All-Star game deciding home field in the World Series.

Thanks Cy. 8 days until the pitchers and catchers arrive in Winter Haven.

Super Hype Sunday

Very little news about the Tribe today in the fishwraps, which probably has something to do with some other game happening today in the sports world.

Not much in the increasingly irrelevant PD sports page (which was breezed through in about 10 minutes this morning, and I was looking for something to read to an interested 6-week old…I mean, how is Branson Wright employed by a major newspaper) other than a piece on Victor, who admitted that he played hurt last year. Anybody who saw Victor lumber down the line last year could have told you that.

Also, Paul Hoynes defends himself for picking the Indians to finish 4th in the Central last week. Think Hoynesie is feeling a little burned by picking the Indians to finish so high last year?
Even if he was burned in his predictions by an underachieving team last year, 4th?
Behind the Twins and their 2-man rotation? Really?

He’s going to have to stop hanging out with Livy and Shaw; their cynicism is obviously contagious.
Would anyone be surprised if the out-of-touch and persistently negative Livingston picked the Royals to finish ahead of the Tribe this year and somehow incorporated a rip job on Larry Hughes into the prediction?

Andy Call quotes Shapiro on the final couple of spots in the bullpen, along with a look at Josh Barfield. Interestingly, yesterday on WKNR with Tony Rizzo, Tribe VP Bob DiBiasio stated, very matter-of-fact, that the Indians final 2 spots in the bullpen would go to Cabrera and Davis. No surprise there, only that the VP of Public Relations would come out and say such a thing before Spring Training even started.

With only hype on TV today and the wind chill hitting the double digits under 0, it wasn’t a great week for the DVR to go on the fritz (Time Warner’s response, “Sorry about that, we’ll bring another box by when we can…and you’ll lose anything on your current box”. Lovely). Thank goodness for HBO running the “Star Wars” movies constantly so I don’t have to watch an interview with Peyton Manning’s 3rd Grade Teacher.

On this week leading up to the Super Bowl, how apparent has it become that the Worldwide Leader (or as I heard someone call it, “nothing but another four-letter word”) has become increasingly out-of-touch with their core fan base, both in terms of programming and website content?

If you want nightly highlights, don’t check out “SportsCenter”. All you’ll get is a steady dose of banter between Kilborn-wannabes and 5 ex-players walking around a fake football field “breaking it down” for 10 minutes.

Who cares? Who wants to see Michael Irvin or Steve Young endlessly preen and carry on with little to no insight or knowledge in lieu of seeing actual analysis and game highlights?
And don’t get me started on Stuart Scott.

Want an alternative? Check out Fox Sports’ “FSN Final Score”, which focuses on highlights and results…what a novel concept.

And the Worldwide Website has become less and less of a frequent target as the only thing worth reading has become The Sports Guy’s column. SI.com’s content and access to good writers has eclipsed ESPN.com’s coverage and FoxSports.com has a vast advantage with Ken Rosenthal in terms of insider information…for free.

Don’t get me wrong, ESPN is still in heavy rotation for sports coverage, but this week leading up to the Super Bowl has illustrated how much ESPN has changed in the past 5 years…and not for the better.

My friend Berger, in Vegas for the Super Bowl, put down a double sawbuck on the Tribe to win the WS at 30 to 1 this morning for me.
The winnings are already spent.

If you need something to warm you on this cold Sunday, here’s a video to remind you that we’re getting close.

How Far Away is Spring Training?

In case you missed it (and in this ridiculously slow time, sports-wise, this is news) Jeremy Guthrie has been claimed by the Baltimore Orioles, ending the former 1st round pick’s tenure with the Tribe. Before anybody says that this is an instance of the Indians giving up on a prospect (and invoking the name of the current 2B for the Reds), receiving nothing in return, consider this – Guthrie turns 28 in April and has compiled a 1.76 WHIP over 37 MLB innings since being drafted in 2002. Over the course of his career, he’s proven to be more of a AAAA pitcher than a legitimate prospect, regardless of the money he made or his draft position.

If there was any doubt that the Indians had soured on any chance of Guthrie succeeding in Cleveland, you only have to look at the pitchers that hit the Jake BEFORE him from Buffalo. You would have to think that with the turnstile that occupied the bullpen last year, if Guthrie had a good shot of making a worthwhile contribution at some point in the future, wouldn’t the organization have given him a crack over waiver wire claim Brian Sikorski or the 2nd round pick from the same year, Brian Slocum?

It’s true that Guthrie had a nice season at Buffalo last year, but that’s a nice year by a 27-year old who had already logged 47 starts in AAA from 2003 to 2005.
So, the luster had come off of his star long ago.

Maybe Leo Mazzone can pull a magic act and resurrect his career as he did so many pitchers in Atlanta, but the O’s won’t have the option of sending Guthrie to the minors if it Mazzone’s miracle cure doesn’t show immediate results to adjust to the level of competition, as Guthrie did in AAA over those 47 starts.

Seeing the likes of Gil Meche and Ted Lilly get rich this off-season, I thought that Guthrie could perhaps fetch the Indians something in return, but Guthrie is only a little over 2 years younger than Jason Stanford, who at least had a modicum of success in Cleveland in 2003 and 2004, and has better overall Minor League numbers than Guthrie.

If the Indians traded Stanford, would you expect anything more than a case of beer?

While it’s true that Stanford cleared waivers last year and Guthrie was claimed, their minor league numbers are similar enough to make the comparison. Really, if you take away that 1st round designation from Guthrie, this DFA and waiver claim is nothing more than a player looking for a change of scenery to kick-start a MLB career.

If Guthrie can pull a U-turn on his career path in Baltimore, more power to him.
But, in Cleveland, for Jeremy Guthrie, it was unlikely to ever turn around in the positive direction. Regardless of any future successes he may experiences – that needs to be remembered.

On another topic, after hearing a report that Hector Luna still needs to lose weight (ugh), is there any possibility that we can we send him (and his frying pan glove) back to San Luis…today?

With Eckstein and Kennedy set at SS and 2B at Busch, they could use Luna’s bat off the bench more than the Indians (who more obviously need a slick-fielding MI) could.

And aren’t Luna and Pujols supposed to be boys?

Actually, wouldn’t Luna fill the Cardinals’ criteria for a backup middle infielder while their current backup MI, Aaron Miles, would fit the Indians’?

Miles has the ability to play SS (39 games there in 2006), is a decent defender (higher range factor and zone rating than noted defensive specialist Orlando Hudson last year); and although he is an offensive liability as an everyday fixture in the lineup (.682 career OPS) he’s not too much different than Johnny Mac, who everyone decries as “what we really are looking for”, but is not available.

Speaking of all of these 2B in St. Louis and Cleveland, where is Ronnie Belliard going to play in 2007?

Just checking, because it’s getting close to Spring Training and Jelly is still without a contract.

Finally, after watching “Teen Wolf” countless times on HBO in the last few weeks, I can only hope that the Atomic Wedgie relays Coach Bobby Finstock’s 3 Laws of Life when counseling the troubles of the young Indians.

Those obviously being:
1) Never get less than twelve hours sleep
2) Never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city
3) Never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body
Of course, as Coach Finstock says, “Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.”

Styles used to be the hands-down favorite from the movie (with good reason), but Coach Finstock is an absolute legend. He’s on screen for a total of, like, 10 minutes. But he uncorks all of these beauties.

If the Lake Erie Snow Machine (which apparently is the new moniker from the local hack weathermen) has you down, here’s some news to brighten your day:
Wait for it…

…only 14 days until Pitchers and Catchers Report.

Youth IS Being Served

In Paul Hoynes’ mailbag, a complaint that’s been making its rounds recently, that the Indians are blocking their young players with marginal veterans, is addressed.

The reasoning behind the argument is that the signings of Nixon and Dellucci are the latest in a long line of veterans signed by Shapiro that blocked homegrown talent. The argument continues that it started with Juan Gonzalez blocking Sizemore (which sorted itself out in Spring Training), then continued with Jason Johnson blocking Carmona and Sowers and Danny Graves taking a bullpen spot away from a young reliever last year.

In actuality, the Indians’ history of putting faith in their farm system and youngsters is pretty admirable. Some have panned out (Peralta…for 2005, at least), some have not (Phillips) and very few could have ever imagined that players like Sizemore and Sowers would experience the phenomenal success that they did right away.

The lesson of Brandon Phillips, in 2003, is probably the reason that the Indians don’t just hand starting jobs to any youngsters, making them earn their way onto the team instead. Phillips was given the 2B job, completely flopped, and started a series of events that led to his trade to Cincinnati (which was not the giant gaffe most believe it to be if you look at the complete body of work that Phillips put together from 2003 on…but that’s another discussion for another day). The lesson of Phillips was not to simply hand a young player a job, without having earned it on a consistent basis in MLB or without any competition from a player who has performed consistently in MLB.

That’s why the Indians brought in Nixon and Dellucci to take the place of Gutz and Choo and the bullpen arms to replace the youngsters we saw at the end of last year. If one of the prospects dazzle in AAA, they’ll force their way into the parent club’s plans; but if they struggle, they’re doing it in Buffalo, not Cleveland.

And really, are Nixon, Dellucci, and the bullpen arms really blocking any of their young talent?

Not unless you want to see Gutierrez and Choo cut their teeth on MLB pitching on an everyday basis when this team is poised to contend, or would like to see the Tribe break camp with a bullpen comprised of Betancourt, Cabrera, Miller, Davis, Mastny, Perez, and Mujica.

Judging by interviews with the position players this off-season, they certainly weren’t in favor of doing so. Put it this way – if you’re Grady, sitting in CF, watching the young bullpen blow save after save or watching Choo wave at pitches from LHP, would you have a lot of confidence that these young players will “turn the corner” before another season is frittered away? Or would you rather see Borowski and Foulke trot in from the bullpen to protect a late-inning lead and see professional hitters like Nixon protecting you in the lineup?

And what of allowing some youngsters some space on the roster?
Ah…no, the roster is tremendously young, even with the new players.
To wit, take a look at the ages of the likely 25-man roster on Opening Day:
Martinez – 28
Shoppach – 26
Garko – 26
Barfield – 24
Peralta – 24
Marte – 23
Luna – 27
Blake – 33
Nixon – 32
Sizemore – 24
Dellucci – 33
Michaels – 30
Hafner – 29
Sabathia – 26
Westbrook – 29
Lee – 28
Sowers – 23
Byrd – 36
Borowski – 35
Foulke – 34
Hernandez – 42
Fultz – 33
Betancourt – 31
Cabrera – 25
Davis – 26

So, before the signings of the platoon OF and the bullpen arms, there were 4 guys over the age of 30. Is that an old roster, devoid of young players given a chance to succeed?

If anything, the veteran signings were made to add some experience to a young roster. Because the Indians’ best players all fall under the age of 30, signings like this become a necessity to add some MLB experience to a core of players with a limited amount of service time, not an indication of an organizational strategy to impede the progress of young talent.

Knowing that the Indians remain one of the youngest teams in the Majors and that none of the “blocked” talent is truly ready to contribute, the argument that the Indians keep “blocking” these young players just doesn’t hold water.

Prospecting

With some downtime between the Hot Stove and Spring Training, the Top Prospect Lists are coming fast and furious. These rankings always strike me as a bit arbitrary; as most people who put these lists together have never seen the prospects play and rely instead on pure stats and reputation.

The stats part is easy to see who’s thriving, but there are always other factors involved like age (a 24-year old playing against 19-year olds can be reminiscent of a dodgeball game involving Billy Madison) that complicate matters. Some players stay on these lists based on name recognition only (Jeremy Guthrie, as a 26-year old, still made some of these lists), but the players will separate themselves on the field this year.

Regardless, the lists are interesting to look at as it gives fans some names to watch as the season progresses in Buffalo, Akron, Kinston, and Lake County.

And away we go:
The exhaustive Top 75 from SI.com includes Adam Miller at #10, Lofgren at #46, Crowe at #57, and Barton earning an honorable mention nod. By the way, Kouzmanoff is #59.

Top Prospect Alert has another Indians-only Top 10 ranking.

Baseball Prospectus provides a comprehensive look at the Top 10, though you need a subscription to see 4 through 10.

John Sickels, who knows more than probably anybody about minor league players, lists his top 20, grading them out.

Baseball America and Chris Kline (who used to write about the Kinston Indians for the local paper) gave a “State of the Tribe Farm” last November and gives his Top 10, along with the annual “Best of…” the organization.

Since it’s difficult to gauge where the prospects rate against each other, due to them all being at different stages in their development, here’s a modified “Top Prospect List”, breaking down 5 names to watch on each level. I’ve omitted the names that you already know or have already seen for an extended period of time in Cleveland (Gutierrez, Carmona, Mujica, Mastny, and Perez) or have more than 50 IP or 130 ML AB.

The Fab Five (by level):
Buffalo
SP Adam Miller – See any of the above links if you’re still unaware of him to see the hype.
RP Tony Sipp – Talented LHP likely to see the Jake this summer…and not on a tour.
SS Asdrubal Cabrera – Slick-fielding youngster who struggled at the plate in 2006.
OF Brad Snyder – Former 1st rounder needs to significantly cut down on K rate.
SP JD Martin – A year off of Tommy John surgery, he’ll look to recapture the dominance of 2005.

Akron
SP Chucky Lofgren – 2007, and AA, will be a big test to see if a monster 2006 was no fluke.
OF Russell Crowe – Terrific in Gladiator and Master and Commander. Wait, who?
OF Brian Barton – An old 24 to be in AA, but his .923 in 2006, regardless of level, is undeniable.
SP Scott Lewis – Still limited by arm issues, a 0.97 WHIP & a 1.48 ERA over 115+ IP bode well.
OF Jordan Brown – 2006 Carolina League Player of the Year in Kinston is under the radar…for now.

Kinston
OF John Drennan – Time for this former 1st rounder to be known for more than a HR off of Clemens.
C Max Ramirez – Acquired for Sticky, he may end up elsewhere due to suspect defense; but he can hit.
SP Joe Ness – Big RHP who gets lost in the shuffle, but K/BB ratio from 2006 is a great sign.
OF Jose Costanza – “Can’t Stand Ya” is a little speedster who gets on base a ton.
SP James Deters – One of many young SP in Kinston; someone (maybe Deters) will take the next step.

Lake County
Mostly 2006 Draft Picks to watch here, so not too many results, just draft expectations.
SP David Huff – 2006 1st Round Pick
3B Wes Hodges – 2006 2nd Round Pick (no 2006 stats due to injury)
OF Josh Rodriguez – 2006 2nd Round Pick
C Matt McBride - 2006 2nd Round Pick
SP Joshua Tomlin – 2006 19th Round Pick pitched very well for the Mahoning Valley Scrappers in 2006.

It’s an imperfect “Top 20” list, but these would be the names to watch when perusing the stats from the Tribe minor league teams as the season goes forward. Certain players like Sean Smith and Jensen Lewis could catapult into the forefront, but these players certainly present a list of (to steal ESPN the Magazine’s) Who2Watch4 in 2007.

With that farming out of the way, how about this farm boy and his SI spread?

The Comfort Zone

Today’s PD addresses the possibility of Westbrook signing a contract extension, including all of the cuddly language that is so prevalent prior to contract negotiations.

Now, Westbrook appears to be a great guy.
In fact, last summer, while having dinner at an outdoor patio at a Crocker Park restaurant, one of my friends recognized Westbrook coming into the restaurant. As he left with his take-out, we commented about how it must be difficult for athletes to go anywhere without being approached by someone who feels that they know them, probably resulting in them rarely being able to eat in a restaurant.
Scintillating dinner conversation, I know.

No sooner had we finished the conversation did we see an older guy stop Westbrook and start bending his ear. Westbrook was obviously very cordial as he nodded quietly, while the guy carried on an animated one-person conversation. Our attention was diverted elsewhere as we discussed the pros and cons of being a pro athlete when our food arrived.

After we finished eating, my buddy noticed that Westbrook was STILL talking to the old guy, some 30 minutes later. Westbrook was still standing there, speaking every so often, but mostly agreeing with whatever ridiculousness was coming out of this guy’s mouth.

Thankfully, the guy’s wife finally came out of a store and, presumably, convinced her husband to leave the nice, young man alone. Westbrook said good-bye and continued to his car, probably a solid 45 minutes after picking up his food at the restaurant, simply by being polite to a fan.

The story is told to show that Westbrook is a very genuinely polite and nice guy who is unlikely to embarrass the Indians with a poor decision.

That being said, the notion that he’s going to stick around in Cleveland because he’s “comfortable” came right out of the Cliché Handbook. And the “nice guy” label doesn’t get you much more punch than the rest of the folks at the party (see Thome, Jim), so these warm and fuzzies floating around in January aren’t going to get the Indians much further than any other prospective team this coming November.

Unfortunately, fans see today’s article – somehow take it as gospel that Westbrook wants to stay in his comfort zone of Cleveland, regardless of price – and file it away in the recesses of their brains as ammunition to ride the Dolans for not ponying up the cash if Jake doesn’t end up in Cleveland.

There’s no doubt that Westbrook will join the Tribe at the negotiating table this Spring Training to discuss extension; but, with the money given to lesser pitchers than Westbrook this off-season, expect Westbrook to go into a contract year attempting to accentuate his value as a Free Agent.

If, for instance, Westbrook wins another 15 games with an ERA around 4.00 in 200+ innings in 2007, he’s in line for a HUGE contract – both in terms of years and guaranteed money.

Unless the Indians completely blow away what Westbrook thinks he can earn on the open market (it would probably take a 5-year deal worth $60M for Jake to even consider eschewing the riches that will be on his table next year) at the Spring Training negotiating table, expect Westbrook to test the waters.

From the other dance partner's persepective, with Miller and Carmona in the pipeline and C.C. and Hafner taking priority over Jake, the Indians are unlikely (and justifiably so) to offer such a deal.

It’s a situation that bears watching as some have suggested that the team trade Westbrook before they lose him to FA – something a team in position to contend simply can’t afford to do without a legitimate replacement already in line.

Maybe Westbrook is that rare bird that puts more stock in comfort of surroundings than financial comfort.
Despite all the best intentions and his comments, I’ll believe that Westbrook is such a person when he’s sitting at a press conference announcing an extension with the Tribe.

Trotman's Sunday

As the dust has settled on the surprising Colonel Trotman (I know it’s Troutman in First Blood) signing, the question remains whether the move was truly necessary. That is, will Nixon taking over the LH portion of the RF platoon outperform Choo to the degree that it was worth $3M?

The good folks over at the Baseball Think Factory have produced what they call their ZIPS Projections for 2007, which includes all MLB players. Here’s how the BLC and the Colonel compare (someday I'll figure out how to make this look better):

Name-BA/OBP/SLG/AtBat/H/R/2B/HR/RBI/BB/K/SB/RC27/RC
Choo-.280/.361/.427/482/135/81/27/12/62/59/100/18/5.5/76
Nixon-.272/.371/.415/357/97/52/24/9/50/53/52/1/5.6/57

Pretty similar comparing the disparity in projected AB of 125 with Trot coming in higher (slightly) in the Antonetti-favorite of OBP and MUCH lower in K’s. In fact, adjusting for the disparity, Choo clocks in at a higher only at R & SB. The 2nd last column contain figures refer to runs created, a stat created by Bill James designed to estimate the number of runs a hitter contributes to his team. The numbers, obviously, are very similar.

Before moving on, you may ask yourself, who comes up with these projections (ZIPS is just one of the projections out there)?

Remember NORAD in WarGames? While I’m sure it’s not like that, I like to think that there are a bunch of middle-aged men in short sleeve collared shirts and skinny ties with bad comb-overs and horn-rimmed glasses, chain smoking and pounding pots of coffee while sweating uncontrollably, staring desperately at giant computer screens in some secret location trying to figure out how many times Choo is going to be HBP in 2007.

In reality, it’s probably a program some 14-year-old developed that just needs raw data. I still hope the program has a name like WOPR or HAL, though.

Speaking of HAL, not to go all Cliff Clavin on you but…ah…it’s a little know fact that Stanley Kubrick gave the name of HAL to the computer in 2001: A Space Odyssey because the letter H, A, and L precede the letters I, B, and M in the alphabet.

But I digress.

Back to the Choo/Nixon quandary and the fact that if Choo would have provided comparable production in the RF platoon, why sign Nixon? Would that $3M be better spent elsewhere at some point in the season or at the negotiating table with Jake, Pronk, and C.C?

Perhaps, but the idea of Choo adjusting to MLB on the fly, along with Marte doing the same, while Barfield learns the nuances of the pitchers in the AL, AND the idea that Jhonny Peralta’s regression in 2006 could be more than just an anomaly must have kept the Mylanta close enough to Shapiro’s lips to make the move. Having all of these young players go through these adjustment periods early in a season so dependent on getting a fast start in the Central more than likely proved to be too much uncertainty for Shapiro to stand pat.

In Nixon, the Indians get a player familiar with the American League who will play only against RHP, allowing his body the appropriate time to heal and stay healthy throughout the season. In the meantime, Choo will return to AAA (where he thrived last year at Tacoma) to improve his K rate and his ability to hit LHP.

Whether the move was a necessity is a point that can be debated ad nauseam, but the Dirt Dog (Nixon’s Boston nickname) is in Cleveland to provide some certainty and stability to a team that is, no question, making the push in 2007.

With Nixon in the fold, the lineup shakes out like this:
Vs. RHP
CF – Sizemore
RF – Nixon
DH – Hafner
C – Martinez
1B – Blake
LF – Dellucci
SS – Peralta
3B – Marte
2B – Barfield

Vs. LHP
CF – Sizemore
LF – Michaels
DH – Hafner
C – Martinez
RF – Blake
SS – Peralta
1B – Garko
3B – Marte
2B – Barfield
Every so often, Shoppach would see some time instead of Garko, with Victor shifting down to 1B to ease the wear and tear of catching on the Stick. So, all of you Garko-my-God-did-you-see-how-far-he-hit-that? fans out there, Gonnie Garko will play in about ½ of the Indians’ games this season and the addition of Nixon (another LH bat) virtually assures Garko a spot on the 25-man roster.

With that, let’s take a wide berth on a Lazy Sunday, catching up on the week that was:
SI’s John Donovan reports on the different approaches to building a bullpen, employed this off-season by the Braves, O’s, and Tribe.

FoxSports.com’s Dayn Perry marks the Tribe as the team to beat in the Central. Who’s Dayn Perry? The ONLY guy who said, prior to 2006, that the Tigers were a vastly improved team poised for a breakout. Something for which he was mocked unmercifully by some guy…ahem.

SI.com’s Jon Heymann gives the Indians a nice off-season grade as he examined the moves made by AL teams.

Terry Pluto weighs in with his usual dose of logic and optimism on the Trotter.

Paul Hoynes reports that the search for Jhonny v.2005 is in full swing and that Peralta wears shirts with inspirational messages. Hoynesie also reports that Johnny Mac is working out at Jacobs Field, though there’s no chance the Blue Jays will give him up to fill the hole in the Tribe MI. If you’re the Blue Jays, doesn’t that strike you as odd and….um…not a good sign for team chemistry that one of your players is working out with ANOTHER big-league club?

Finally, for that Christmas gift that you forgot, or realized while in line at the Team Shop that you were about to purchase the IDENTICAL shirt that you had given the SAME person on your list last year (I know someone who was at the register when the realization was made), here are the jerseys that promise to be big hits down at the Jake this year.

Following the premise of the famous

Benuardo platoon and adding the uniform numbers of the participants of the 2007 platoon, these jerseys are sure to turn some heads.

A New Trotter for the Stable

The Tribe added a veteran bat today in the form of Trot Nixon, designating Jeremy Guthrie for assignment off of the 40-man roster to make room for him. The move came as a total surprise as there hadn’t been anything even resembling this out there. It was even more surprising in that most indications were that the Indians’ roster was set for Winter Haven.

The Nixon signing represents a move that the Indians didn’t NEED to make, but obviously Shapiro had some misgivings about going into the 2007 season depending upon the youngsters (Barfield, Peralta, Marte, Garko) to augment the meat of the lineup. Nixon provides some veteran certainty (assuming that he can stay healthy, which he hasn’t done since 2003) and some grittiness and leadership to a group of position players largely made up of young talent (proven and unproven) and some veterans who haven’t experienced the level of success that Nixon did in Boston. While Nixon will never be the rah-rah guy at the top of the dugout, his style of play (hard-nosed hustler who goes all out, all the time – sometimes to his detriment) could serve as an example (along with what Grady gives every night) to show some of these young players how to approach life as a MLB player.

Nixon’s health is the obvious unknown and you would have to think that the Indians have done their due diligence on him before guaranteeing him $3M. The money, while big in any other walk of life, is not a huge commitment as the Indians are providing themselves insurance and depth in the outfield by adding a veteran.

There are a lot of ifs with Nixon, as well as the major question of whether he really would outperform the BLC in Cleveland this year, but his addition gives the Indians more depth in the OF and insurance in case of an injury to any of their OF. Similar to the way that the bullpen experienced the trickle-down effect of adding veteran arms, the Indians OF depth has been augmented by Nixon…but almost too much.

The Tribe’s organizational OF breaks down like this:

Cleveland
Dellichaels (sounds like “Delightful”)
Super Duper Sizemore
Blixon (Blake/Nixon to the unimaginative)

Buffalo
Francisco
Gutierrex
Choo

Akron
Crowe
Snyder
Barton

Using that depth chart, the Indians will ask all of those players in Buffalo to repeat a year in AAA and for Snyder to repeat a year at AA. Sorry, I just don’t see that stagnancy on the farm for an organization that prides itself on having “waves” of prospects ready to step in.

So, a trade would seem to be in the offing. Gutierrez is the most likely candidate; as he is pretty highly regarded in baseball circles and has more value outside of Cleveland, where he could actually supplant a CF.

Don’t believe me that Gutz is highly regarded? Here’s what ESPN’s Jim Callis said about Frank the Tank and Juan Pierre in a recent chat:

Joe (Syracuse): Who would you rather have as your CF, Juan Pierre or Franklin Gutierrez, with salary factored in?
Jim Callis: Gutierrez. If Pierre doesn't hit .320, he's a drag on your offense; he's not that great a basestealer; and he's not that great a defender.

Gutierrez, on his own, isn’t going to bring a huge return; but he could be a part of a package to acquire a LHRP or obtain a better long-term 1B prospect.

Basically, the Nixon signing allows Shapiro to explore those options, with the knowledge that he is covered in the OF in Cleveland and would still have Choo and Francisco at AAA ready to help in a pinch (in case the 5 current outfielders go down). Could the signing be the precursor to a bigger trade, with Westbrook or whomever else to really rock the boat? Who knows?

For now, let’s hold off on final judgment on this signing until the other shoe drops; because in a vacuum, the trade looks like more of a depth signing than it does a legitimate need on the roster. Did the Indians HAVE to make this deal or does this deal allow them to improve their team in other ways?

Much more on the surprising signing of Colonel Trotman in the next few days as we try to get inside Mark Shapiro’s head (one that doesn’t dump us on the side of the NJ turnpike after just 15 minutes).

Oh, yeah…anyone want a Jeremy Guthrie jersey?

Avoiding Arbitration...Again

The Indians have taken care of ¾ of their arbitration-eligible players, starting with Matt Miller signing a one-year deal in the range of $550K-$600K. Miller remains in the mix for the bullpen and this contract shouldn’t change his role for next year. That role being fighting for that last spot, but still having an option, allowing the Indians to start him in Buffalo to prove his health and effectiveness if the decision becomes too difficult.

Next, Jason Michaels signed a 2-year deal, with a club option that pays him $2M this year, $2.15M next year, and a $2.6M if the Tribe picks up the 2009 option. The deal (though the first 2 years are guaranteed money) is surprisingly affordable for a player with 5 years in MLB as Michaels, regardless of his place on the roster as a platoon OF/4th OF.


Of course, before making the argument that Michaels is “blocking” the younger players with a 3-year deal, remember that Casey Blake is a FA at year’s end and that even if Michaels ends up as the 4th OF in 2008 or 2009, his new contract is very manageable. Also, for Michaels to “block” the younger players, that would mean that one of the youngsters is ready RIGHT NOW or even close, which they are not.



Of the top prospects, T. Crowe has played 39 games in AA and Brian Barton has played 42 games in Akron and neither in a game any higher. The players above them in the organization (Gutierrez, Snyder, Cooper, etc.) haven’t done enough to merit the thought that they’re being “blocked”.

If anything, this deal for Michaels should galvanize Shapiro to explore trades for Gutierrez, as his value is probably greater in MLB outside of Cleveland. If Frank the Tank can net a player that would fortify a weakness on this team (RP, 1B depth, MI), expect Shapiro to leave no stone unturned. Of course, Shapiro may have already started to do so, which could have prompted the 2nd and 3rd year of the Michaels deal.

The other situation that would bear watching regarding Michaels would be a replay of the construction and destruction of the Benuardo platoon. That is, if Michaels thrives in the platoon with Dellucci, it would raise his trade value; if the Indians wanted to move him, they would be able to do so while his value is at its highest. Like Broussard, his weaknesses will be masked by the platoon and the Indians could move Michaels (when a suitable replacement exists or if they decide to add a corner OF at some point in the season) and get max value from Michaels. The Indians received Choo and a 20-year-old AAA shortstop for Benuardo, so this scenario is not unprecedented or without merit.


Even if Michaels crashes and burns in his new platoon role (which is unlikely), he remains eminently tradable, as many teams would gladly take on the certitude of Michaels’ contract for a platoon player/4th outfielder/pinch hitter of his caliber.


Most recently, Rocky Betancourt inked a 1-year, $840,000 deal for his 1st arbitration year. Again, this contract is much lower than where I thought this contract would fall (around $2M was the projected neighborhood, but what do I know). With what other relievers are getting on the market, Betancourt at that price is quite a deal and, depending on where Betancourt slots into the bullpen, could turn into one of the bigger bargains on the team.

Jason Davis is the last arbitration-eligible player on the roster and I can’t imagine Davis taking the team to arbitration, given his precarious situation on the 25-man roster and the distasteful nature of arbitration.

Once again, the Indians quickly avoided the ugly process of arbitration (Jerry Browne was the last Indian to do it – and I’ll do just about anything to mention and include a picture the Guv’nor), allowing them to concentrate on tweaking the last few spots on the 25-man, finalizing the 40-man, and (everyone in unison) get to the negotiating table with Jake, C.C., and Pronk in Winter Haven.

Lazy “No Sun” Day

With the weather mizzy outside, it’s time to warm up with a nice, hot cup of Lazy Sunday:
Paul Hoynes answers his mailbag, addressing the usual questions. The answer to the question regarding the bullpen contracts is very amusing as Hoynes completely shoots down the questioner; essentially pointing out that the question is misinformed and illogical.

You have to wonder what happens when the person who writes these questions in reads the answers to their questions. In this case, Mike Shepka must have opened his paper in Macedonia this morning, felt elation as he saw that his question had been chosen to appear in the paper, then slowly have anger and embarrassment creep in as he realized that Hoynes had just put him in the corner. The rest of his Sunday must be filled with phone calls from ridiculing friends and dread in facing the guys at work on Monday.

The lesson that few people ever learn (just listen to sports-talk radio) is that, while the “experts” generally have little expertise, they usually know more than you.
But opinions are like…ah, forget it.

The more interesting Hoynes piece from the weekend was the inevitable “C.C. is going to be a rich man soon” article from Saturday. After the Zito signing, we all knew it was coming. But how many spirits sank in Indian Nation with this quote from the Crooked Cap:

"It's going to be tough, not just for me, but for Jake and [Hafner], too," said Sabathia. "The people around here are going to have some tough decisions to make in the next two years."

Sabathia continued that he “wants to be where he’s comfortable” and wants to “play for a winner”, but the Mylanta that was chugged after reading the aforementioned quote was more calming to the stomach than those clichés.

Ken Rosenthal revisits the Franklin Gutierrez to the Marlins rumor. The Marlins have quite a bit of pitching depth and the Indians could find another arm for the bullpen from the Fish. They do have a few LHP (Renyel Pinto is one example, or maybe Taylor Tankersley – whose name, frankly, sounds a little made up) who could join Fultz to give the Tribe 2 LHP in the bullpen, which was Shapiro’s stated desire entering the off-season.

Of course, what’s to say that Gutierrez couldn’t fill the Michaels role of a RH bat in LF any better than Michaels himself? Nothing, but Gutierrez (a natural CF) is more valuable to a team in need of a CF than he is the Indians. With LF tied into Delluchaels and RF being offered to the BLC on the big league level, and Crowe and Barton looking more promising than Gutierrez (and Snyder), perhaps the Indians can “sell high” like they did with another CF playing out of position in Cleveland.
What was that guy’s name again?
Has he been run out of Boston yet?

While the 40-man (and probably the 25-man) roster is essentially set, the Indians will likely make some tweaks regarding the last 2 or 3 spots (last reliever, middle IF, 4th/5th OF) before leaving Winter Haven.

They have to be loading up the equipment trucks soon, right?
I need something to get me through this inevitable season in Cleveland that gives more attention to the NFL Draft than the NFL Playoffs.
Must be January in Cleveland.

DVReview

With the DVR in overdrive due to the fact that it’s virtually impossible to watch anything on TV live with a two-week old in the house, I thought I’d go off the board and recap the shows that have been honored with the “Record All Episodes on this Channel at any Time” tag:

The Office
The absolute gold standard for shows currently on TV. Every episode I go in with high expectations, and haven’t been disappointed yet. Not since the heyday of “Seinfeld” has a show been so well written and so good at capturing the minutiae of daily life. If you don’t know a Michael Scott, Dwight K. Schrute, or Kevin (who, oddly, may be my favorite), you’ve never worked in Corporate America. “The Dundies” from last season has remained on the DVR…it’s that good.
You down with the Dundies?
Yeah, you know me.

The only show that rivals “The Office” is…“The Office”. That is, the BBC version, which is more outlandish, has an even more ridiculous boss, and has an even more outrageous “oddball”. BBC America has a standing order to record the show at any and all times and, while I can understand about ½ of the dialogue and jokes, enjoy it thoroughly. It’s rarely on, but it’s like a Christmas present when the DVR picks up a random episode on a Wednesday morning.

English Premier Fan Zone
Speaking of British shows that are mainly unintelligible gibberish, this show on Fox Sports Soccer (which I had no idea was even in our package until I stumbled upon this gem) turns the concept of watching sporting events on TV on its collective ear.

The concept is that the “Game of the Week” is broadcast without a play-by-play or color man. In their place are two fans in the booth, one representing each team. And not celebrity fans or ex-players (as far as I can tell), it seems to be just guys they pull out of the stands.

If you can imagine, it’s high comedy to hear two Brits openly cheering for their team and ripping on the other team and the other guy in the booth. To wit, the Manchester United-Newcastle United game featured this exchange:
NU fan: “(Wayne) Rooney looks pretty slow today…too many pints last night, Waynie?”
MU fan: “Rooney Boy hung-over, or drunk, is better than anyone on Newcastle.”
NU fan: (long pause) “Well, I still think he’s nursing one.”

These guys are talking about if the star player in the EPL is hung-over in a game! This is like an ESPN conversation centering on whether Jason HGHiambi (better example than Jeter) had too many Jack and Cokes at the Rainbow Room.

And comments like that are just the tip of the iceberg. The same game featured the Newcastle fan just screaming “C’MON…C’MON” whenever Newcastle had possession and the Manchester fan sounding like he was just sitting in the booth chain-smoking and slamming pints. They call their own players, “wankers” and just rip on each other’s cities, families, and hygiene…whatever.
From the comments that I can understand, it’s hilarious. It’s a fantastic concept and one that should have some legs.

My Boys
A surprisingly good original show on TBS (no idea when it’s on) that is genius in the fact that it portrays a group of guys (and one girl) who live in Chicago. The genius lies in the representation of the guys’ lives and the fact that everyone in their late 20’s and early 30’s know THESE guys.

They go out every night, spend every waking moment with each other – examining each other’s love lives, jobs, and minor decisions. They’re experts on everyone’s lives…except their own. They go out “to meet girls”, but all they really want is to hang out with each other and party.

The guys I know live in Charlotte and are constantly out, making late-night phone calls to their married friends at 4AM every weekend, going through “phases” to meet ladies.
What phases? Let’s say this – we all went to Vegas for March Madness a few years back when these guys were in their “Clubbing Phase”, when they all wore tight shirts, black pants, and dress shoes. As we made our way to our SkyBox in Rain at the Palms, I was mocked for wearing a polo shirt, jeans, and tennis shoes. Needless to say, on our way to working up a $3K bar tab (don’t ask), they didn’t meet any girls and ended up at the roulette table at noon the next day, sucking down Vodka Cokes (don’t ask) with the “Swedish equivalent of Tom Jones” (ask away).

Anyway, the show captures that jocularity and camaraderie among guys in the transitional phase of their lives very accurately and cleverly. The actress being oddly hot makes it even better.

How I Met Your Mother
This show makes the list because the main character is from Cleveland, living in NY. The first show I saw had him in Yankee Stadium, wearing a Tribe uni, cheering on the Erie Warriors.

As if that isn’t enough, the show is pretty funny; then, there’s the clincher…Bob Saget is the narrator (a la Wonder Years retrospective) telling the story to his kids at some point in the future.

If a Tribe uni and Saget aren’t enough for you, you’re past the point of help.

30 Rock
The only thing that makes this spotty and uneven comedy worth watching is Alec Baldwin simply being Alec Baldwin. Baldwin plays himself, or at least what you would expect Alec Baldwin to act like. His smarmy, sly, subtle delivery is spot-on and couldn’t be more entertaining.

The rest of the show…not so great, but Alec Baldwin – fantastic.

Arrested Development
Thanks to a Christmas Gift of Season 2 & 3, I no longer have to rely on G4TV (whatever that is) for reruns of one of the greatest shows ever made. If you enjoy the other shows on this list and have never seen AD, rent the DVD’s. It’s incredible.

Otherwise, like GOB, you will have made a huge mistake.

STO Offerings
In the past week, I have seen Ted Ginn, Jr. playing QB for Glenville in 2003 (incredibly), Jeremy Sowers using the word “exceptional” 4 times in an interview, an Indians’ game from 1987 in Fenway (Joe Carter hit 3 HR), an introductory piece on Tony Sipp, and the 1996 Indians clinching the AL Central pennant against the ChiSox.

You just can’t beat that.

The 1996 game was especially interesting to see all of the players look all “puffed up” without anyone wearing pirate shirts. The Sports Guy touched on this in his last column addressing Albert Belle, but these guys were HUGE. Take a look at the AL Leaders in 1996, where AB is pretty prominent. Not exactly a pack of Boy Scouts that Belle is among in the power categories. Unfortunately, you have to sit there and wonder, watching that team play, who was legitimately that good and who was aided by Ripped Fuel or whichever of the 31 Flavors was popular that day.

I’d be interested to hear if we’re missing anything as I always appreciate a 30 to 60 minute diversion while holding a sleeping infant. I’ve been told that “Man vs. Wild” on Discovery is something to see and that “Heroes” is good, though it may be too late to get involved.

And don’t give me your “Ghost Whisperer”, “Desperate Housewives”, and “Las Vegas” type shows, because hot leading ladies only hold the attention for so long

Finally, hearty congratulations go out to the Baltimoran and the Baltimorette on adding a little girl to their brood earlier today.

Sunday-In-A-Box

A little Lazy Sunday, as I have yet to figure out how to incorporate the latest SNL Digital Short into a regular installment:

The Official Site touches on extensions for Jake, C.C., and Pronk. The feasibility of such an idea was addressed here back in November (see post below after linking).

Paul Hoynes takes on a mailbag question regarding the Indians trading either Lee or Westbrook for Carl Crawford if the Mulder signing takes place.

What Hoynes fails to address in his answer is that there’s no conceivable reason for the Rays to trade 4 years of Crawford (signed through 2010) for 1 year of Westbrook or Lee, who’s coming off of a regressive season. The Devil Rays are looking for pitching help more along the lines of Jeremy Sowers; so, unless the Indians want to trade their young, contract-controlled pitching, a Crawford arrival to the North Coast remains unlikely.

Many Tribe fans don’t remember that it takes Two to Tango and, while we’d all like to see the Tribe acquire Ryan Howard for Guthrie, Davis, and Gutierrez, reality remains a factor in trade talks.

Terry Pluto takes another trip around the bullpen and examines observations made by SI’s Jon Heyman earlier in the week.

Also on SI.com, John Donovan lists Westbrook as one of the most highly sought after FA after the ’08 season.

I’m beginning to think that the courtship of Mark Mulder is more closely related to this fact than you might think. Mulder probably won’t be ready until June, after recovering from rotator cuff surgery, which would coincide with the Indians being able to shop Westbrook at the Trading Deadline to fill another hole (1B/RF?). If extension talks with Westbrook don’t go anywhere, the addition of Mulder would allow the Tribe to replace Westbrook with (a healthy) Mulder for 2008.

If Mulder is healthy, and can recapture the success he experienced from 2001 to 2005 (when he averaged a 18-8 record, 138 K’s, a 3.65 ERA, and a 1.25 WHIP a season over that 5-year stretch), that’s a pretty good exchange. Whether it’s worth the kind of money that the Indians are reportedly offering, particularly with the risk involved, is another argument for another day.

Of course, if the Indians sign Mulder AND extend Westbrook, the depth of starting pitching in the organization will go from great to phenomenal. The Indians wouldn’t be tied to picking up Paul Byrd’s option and could allow Adam Miller and Fausto Carmona to join the starting rotation with a more refined repertoire, as opposed to rushing them to MLB.

Next up, it’s time to go off the board as the DVR has been running in overdrive and it’s time to find out if you’ve been missing out on any recent TV offerings (particularly around 2AM) or, more importantly, if I have.

That is, of course, unless Mulder signs on the dotted line at Carnegie and Ontario in the next few days.

Depth Charges

With Keith Foulke in the fold (and Brian Sikorski outrighted off of the 40-man), the Indians’ bullpen is vastly improved in terms of the quantity of experienced arms available in 2007. The importance of having those experienced arms, obviously, is that the Indians are not relying upon young pitchers unprepared to make an impact at the Major League level.

The “trickle-down effect” of the signing of Foulke, etc. is not just that it allows the likes of Betancourt and Cabrera to slot lower in the bullpen, but also those below them in the organization. In the second half of 2006, the Indians exposed some of their young, talented (if not quite polished) bullpen arms to see how they responded to the bright lights of the Majors.

Some sizzled, then fizzled (Carmona, Mastny), some could never find their footing (Mujica), and some showed promise, albeit inconsistently (Perez, Lara). Their performances showed that they possessed talent; they just needed a little bit more shine on their apple.

So, what does these pieces of unpolished fruit provide for this year for the Indians?
Essentially, depth.

A depth that was painfully lacking as the 2006 bullpen came off the tracks. After last year’s season-changing game in Baltimore, in which Betancourt and Miller BOTH were injured in the same inning (forcing the Indians to depend upon the likes of Gas Can Graves in situations he was not best suited for), that depth can’t be underestimated.

Considering that Cabrera hit the DL 5 days before Betancourt and Miller did last year, the Indians replaced 3 of their 7 relievers in 6 days in April last year, with little depth to replace it. It was a roadblock that proved insurmountable and the organizational depth this year at least dictates that the Indians have some better options to contribute.

For the sake of analyzing that depth in the minors, let’s assume that Jason Davis fills the final bullpen spot (due to him being out of options and his ability to serve as the long reliever) instead of Matt Miller.

With Miller starting the year in Buffalo and the Foulke signing, the Buffalo bullpen starts the 2007 season like this:
LHP Rafael Perez
LHP Juan Lara
RHP Matt Miller
RHP Dan Denham
RHP Ed Mujica
RHP Tom Mastny
LHP Tony Sipp

Obviously Miller could start the season in Cleveland as the fact that he DOES have an option remaining would allow the Indians to shuffle pitchers in and out of that 7th bullpen spot in Cleveland.

That is, if the bullpen is exhausted during a particular series, Miller could be sent down for, say, Rafael Perez in case of emergency – thus allowing the Indians to keep a fresh arm in the pen. If Davis throws 4 innings of long relief in a game and the starter lasts only 2 innings the next, the Indians are handcuffed in that no reliever on the team would have an option to take the trip up I-90 and be replaced by a fresh arm.

But, I digress. There’s plenty of time to debate the merits of Miller and Davis going forward.

The main point remains that, by looking at the names on the Bisons’ staff, it illustrates how promising these names are. While they may not have been able to contribute consistently for the Indians last year, their return to Buffalo allows them to mature and improve outside of the glare of the Majors. If any of the pitchers shows the maturation and improvement that forces the Indians to make a decision, it only improves the Indians’ overall strength.

That is, if Aaron Fultz proves to be ineffective by mid-May, the Indians will have some a few months of Buffalo results to decide if Perez, Lara, or Sipp would best fill the hole. Or, if Roberto Hernandez goes Gilly Mota in the middle of the season, the Indians have Mujica or Mastny (with an idea of their 2007 is progressing) to take his place.

What the bullpen additions in the off-season have done is allow these young pitchers to mature in the minors, away from the bright lights of MLB, and prove themselves worthy of a roster spot as opposed to simply being the “best remaining option”. If Mastny or Sipp proves himself to be worthy of a spot in the bullpen, at least they’ve earned it instead of having it handed to them.

The lesson of the 2006 bullpen is still fresh, and the depth that the off-season signings have given the Indians for 2007 is another by-product of the Indians’ philosophy that volume is the key.

Of course, we could always top 2006 and see THREE pitchers hit the DL in ONE inning.
I can’t believe I just said that, somebody find some wood…quick!

Meet the Foulker

While the Foulke signing certainly strengthens the Indians’ weakness, the bullpen, please hold off on the overly optimistic assumption that the Indians’ games just got shortened to 7 innings with Foulke joining JoeBo in the bullpen.

By some accounts, Foulke is a surly guy who isn’t always the most genial player in the clubhouse, but what would you expect from a guy whose last name is eerily similar to that of Greg Focker? While Focker adjusted pretty well to the ridicule, Foulke could have gone the way of Johnny Hildo – which few would truly care about as long as he pitches an inning of baseball (8th or 9th) effectively.

What Foulke adds to the Indians is more experience (190 career saves) to what was, just 2 months ago, a very inexperienced pen. Foulke’s addition means that 57% of the bullpen has been turned over since last year, and nobody can argue that the turnover for a bullpen badly in need of an overhaul is a bad thing.

Bullpens being the volatile animals that they are, the addition of Foulke (and JoeBo and Hernandez and Fultz) doesn’t guarantee that the Indians’ 2007 bullpen is going to be any better than last year’s. But, with bullpens, a successful one is built with a little luck and, in the Tribe’s case this coming year, LOTS of arms.

The real wisdom of these additions to the bullpen is the nature of the contracts to which they are signed. The Indians signed the pitchers to one-year contracts, some with club options – making a limited commitment to these particular pitchers while covering the future in the chance that one of these players thrives in 2007. The flexibility in payroll with the manageable contracts allows the Indians to succeed if the pitchers succeed as opposed to being handcuffed to a long, unmanageable contract.

Before the signings are viewed as another instance of “Dolan thriftiness” (if you can really call a $5M-$7M contract “thrifty” with a straight face), realize that whether your team plays in Yankee Stadium or Kauffman Stadium, the flexibility in an unpredictable aspect of a baseball team is the desired result for any team. Otherwise, the team is saddled with dead weight in a place that really is incapable of carrying any. One awful reliever, working on a big contract, that is unable to contribute outside of mop-up duty is comparable to playing a turnstile on an offensive line – it affects the whole dynamic of the unit, as the other members are given more responsibility, stretching everyone a little too thin.

The other big benefit of the signing is the “trickle-down effect”, which allows the relievers already in place to slot down another inning. Basically, it allows Betancourt and Cabrera (thought to be 7th and 8th inning options) to slot down another rung in the ladder to the 6th or 7th inning, where they will be joined by Hernandez and Fultz. If one of the pitchers is hurt or proves to be ineffective, the pitchers that prove to be effective as the season proceeds can take a step up the ladder to fill that void. That depth is desirable, and that’s just at the big-league level. The way that the signing affects depth organizationally is a whole other post.

So, we get to Meet the Foulker, a low-risk, high-reward pitcher to bolster the weakness of 2006. The quantity of arms that Foulke joins completes the Indians’ off-season strategy of quantity in lieu of certain quality. In the roulette world of bullpen creation, it’s as good a strategy as any.

Finally, for you Danzig fans out there (both of you), FYI, Foulke leaves the bullpen to that ode to the Oedipus complex, “Mother”.
Enjoy it.