Cleveland Indians Prospect Countdown: #5-1
5.
Scott Barnes, LHP
DOB:
9/5/1987
Height/Weight:
6-4/185
Bats/Throws:
Left/Left
Acquired:
From
San Francisco in the 2009 Ryan Garko trade, originally an 8th round
pick of the Giants in 2008
2011
Stats: 8-4, 3.45 ERA, 88 IP, 90 K, 34 BB between AA and AAA
Scouting
Report: Barnes just might end up being the biggest
beneficiary of the whole Fausto/Roberto rigmarole. He was well on his way to
being an option in the major league rotation last year before his season was
derailed by a freak ACL tear when he was coming off the mound to field a bunt
in July. The good news about the injury is that it was to his knee, and not an
arm issue that could raise questions about his ability to stay healthy down the
road. He’s not a guy with an incredibly high ceiling, but he also has a pretty
high floor.
Barnes throws an above-average fastball that
typically sits between 91-94 and has touched 96. He generally locates the pitch
well, and the velocity plays up due to his somewhat deceptive delivery. In
addition to the fastball, Barnes throws an above-average slider and a changeup
that really dives down through the zone. It’s not an overwhelming arsenal, but
it is solid in every aspect. His delivery is a little funky and creates some
deception, but he does a nice job keeping it consistent and maintaining his
release point from game to game and pitch to pitch. He struck out more than a
batter per inning last season, and did a nice job with his control with a 3.3
BB/9 ratio.
He doesn’t have much projection left in him, and
pretty much is an “is what he is” type of guy at this point in his
developmental arc. But just because he doesn’t project to improve to #1 starter
potential doesn’t mean he can’t be a useful cog in a big league rotation. And I
think it bears repeating; we acquired him straight up for Ryan Garko. He should
open the season in the AAA Columbus rotation, but don’t rule out seeing him on
the bump at the corner of Carnegie and Ontario before the season is over.
Glass
Half-Full: A solid #3 starter in a major league
rotation
Glass
Half-Empty: A solid #5 starter in a major league
rotation
4.
Austin Adams, RHP
DOB:
8/19/1986
Height/Weight:
5-11/185
Bats/Throws:
Right/Right
Acquired:
5th
round draft pick in 2009
2011
Stats: 11-10, 3.77 ERA for AA Akron
Scouting
Report: You don’t typically see righthanded pitchers
standing less than 6 feet tall in the top-5 of a teams’ prospects, but Adams
isn’t your typical sub-6 foot righty. He throws harder than anyone in the
system, sitting comfortably in the mid-to-high 90’s and touching triple digits
when he needs to reach back for a little extra. In addition to the fastball, he
throws a very nice slider that flashes plus, a decent curveball that he feels
comfortable throwing at any time and is developing a changeup that still needs
refined. Adams was the team’s shortstop and closer at NAIA Faulkner College,
and is an impressive athlete who uses his lower half well to get maximum
velocity out of his frame. In last year’s top-50 list, I said that Adams was
“definitely a guy to keep an eye on, as he wasn’t seen as a top-25 guy entering
2010 but could be a top-10 guy by the time 2012 rolls around.” He’s a power, strikeout pitcher who could develop into a front of a rotation guy sooner rather than later.
Like most starting pitchers, Adams gets into trouble
when he starts walking batters and running up his pitch count. He walked 63
hitters while striking out 131 in 136 innings pitched for the Aeros last year.
When you add up all those walks and all those strikeouts, you can see how his
pitch counts can add up early in some games. He only average about 5 1/3 IP per
start last year, and that’s a number that simply has to come up if he’s going
to remain in the rotation. He was on a pretty strict pitch count last year, and
wasn’t allowed to go over 95 pitches in a game. He’ll likely open 2012 in the
rotation for the Columbus Clippers, and will fight with Scott Barnes, David
Huff and Jenmar Gomez to be the 1st pitcher called up in the event
of an injury to one of the big club’s starting 5. If necessary, it’s even
possible that he could be an impact reliever in the stretch run to the playoffs
at the corner of Carnegie and Ontario.
Glass
Half-Full: Adams cuts down on the walks and becomes
a solid #3 or even a #2 starter
Glass
Half-Empty: The control remains an issue and Adams
is forced to a bullpen role
3.
Tony Wolters, SS
DOB:
6/9/1992
Height/Weight:
5-10/165
Bats/Throws:
Left/Right
Acquired:
3rd
round pick in the 2010 draft
2011
Stats: .292/.385/.363 with 1 HR, 20 RBI and 19 SB in 69
games for Mahoning Valley
Scouting
Report: Wolters is a gym rat, a grinder, and whatever else
you call a kid who plays hard on the field and works hard off of it. He doesn’t
have any one single tool that sticks out, but he’s solid across the board. His
tools play up due to his baseball intelligence and work ethic. He was drafted
out of high school, and turn 20 midway through the 2012 baseball season. He got
a late start on his 2011 season after breaking a bone in his hand during spring
training, but managed to put together a solid campaign for short season
Mahoning Valley once he did manage to get on the field. I remember watching
Wolters down in Goodyear last year when he had a cast on his hand, and the guy
just couldn’t sit still. He was running around the outfield grabbing loose
baseballs before the game, coaching first base during the game, and talking to
any coach or player who would listen the rest of the time. I know the word
“grinder” still has a negative connotation around Cleveland after Eric Wedge’s
propensity to use the word as a synonym for talentless, but Wolters is a
grinder who will always work to get the most out of his tools.
Wolters has an above average hit tool to go along
with gap power. He’s probably never going to hit a bunch of home runs in the
majors, and profiles as a top of the order hitter. He has a solid approach,
with 30 walks last year against 49 strikeouts. That’s a pretty solid ratio for
a kid straight out of high school in his first exposure to professional
pitching. He has a short, compact stroke and does a nice job barreling the
baseball on a consistent basis.
Wolters is a solid defender at short, with good
hands and an above average arm. His range is average, and because of that and
the fact that the Indians have so many talented young shortstops in the
organization, many people see a move to 2B in the near future. His bat will
definitely play at either middle infield position, and he would probably be a
plus defender at second. While he never made it past short season ball last
year, Wolters should begin 2012 in low-A Lake County. But the presence of top
prospect Francisco Lindor at SS might force Wolters to 2B earlier rather than
later.
Glass
Half-Full: He sticks at SS and becomes a solid 1st
division starter
Glass
Half-Empty: He ends up at 2B and becomes a solid 2nd
division starter
2.
Dillon Howard, RHP
DOB:
7/1/1992
Height/Weight:
6-4/210
Bats/Throws:
Right/Right
Acquired:
2nd round pick in 2011
2011
Stats: DNP
Scouting
Report: Howard was the Indians 2nd round pick
(#67 overall) in 2011 out of a small Searcy, Arkansas high school. Howard went
9-1 with a 0.31 ERA his senior year, striking out 115 hitters (!) in just 58
innings of work. He allowed just 2 earned runs, and was named the high school
player of the year in Arkansas by pretty much anyone that matters. He’s a big,
strong kid who should be able to maintain his stuff deep into games. He made it
known before the draft that it was going to take a big number for him to sign,
which pushed him to the 2nd round and into the waiting arms of the
Indians.
Nearly all scouts had a 1st round grade
on Howard before the draft, and it’s easy to see why. He has a four-pitch mix, including a
mid-90’s fastball, low-90’s sinker, a changeup that is at least average and
flashes plus, and a developing curveball. The curve can get a little slurvy on
occasion and flatten out, so it’s a pitch that Howard will need to work on
refining as he climbs the organizational ladder. He has simple, clean and
repeatable mechanics that will not need to be tinkered with when the Indians
coaching staff gets their hands on him in Goodyear this spring.
In addition to his talent, Howard has a great
makeup. The oldest of three sons raised by his single mother, Howard received
an over-slot $1.85 million signing bonus. One of the first things he did with
the money was not to buy a car, gold chain, an iPad or even a house for his
mom. He sat down and found a charity in the Cleveland area that supports the
fight against autism, and he wrote them a check. Howard’s youngest brother has
autism, so it is clearly a cause that is near to his heart. He donated to the
Milestones Autism Organization in Beachwood, Ohio, an extremely worthy
non-profit organization. Even if he never throws a pitch in an Indians uniform,
Howard has helped to make the Cleveland area a better place. He’ll likely pitch
2012 for low-A Lake County.
Glass
half-full: A true #2 starter, or even a low-end ace
Glass
half-empty: His curve doesn’t mature and he’s a
back-end starter
1 1. Francisco
Lindor, SS
DOB:
11/14/1993
Height/Weight:
5-11/175
Bats/Throws:
Switch/Right
Acquired:
1st
round pick in 2011
2011
Stats: .316/.350/.350 in 5 games for short-season Mahoning
Valley
Scouting
Report: Lindor was the top shortstop in the 2011 draft, high
school or otherwise. Watching tape of him, I’m struck by just how smooth he
looks, both at the plate and in the field. He’s just a natural athlete who
makes even difficult plays look easy. When the Indians selected him with the #8
overall pick in last June’s draft, I tried to push “Smooth” as a nickname for
him, but it never caught on. Still hoping for that to work out once more people
have seen him play. Lindor is still just 17-years old, but is already a natural
leader. He was the captain of his high school team, and scouts rave about his
makeup both on and off the field.
Lindor has a plus hit
tool, above average speed, and projects to have at least average power. He won
the AFLAC Home Run Derby last year, which was held at Seattle’s spacious Safeco
Field. He powered four home runs to take the title against some of the top
power hitters in high school baseball. More impressively, he and the other
competitors were hitting with wood in the derby, not metal. He profiles as a
top of the order hitter, and a guy that could consistently hit over .300 with
15-20 home runs. He’s a switch hitter, which only adds to his versatility.
Lindor’s real selling
point though, is his incredible defense. There are no questions about his
ability to stick at shortstop long-term, as his range and arm are both
above-average. He has outstanding hands, and makes all the routine plays as
well as some jaw-dropping spectacular ones. He’s shown a consistent ability to
go deep in the hole to his right and make plays, as well as ranging up the
middle to his left. He can throw accurately on the move, and really flashes his
athleticism in the field. In case you can’t tell, I really, really like
Francisco Lindor. He’s a consensus top-50 prospect in all of baseball, and with
a strong season he could push his way into the top-10 by next offseason.
Despite his youth and inexperience, the Indians will likely get aggressive with
Lindor and start him at low-A Lake County to begin 2012.
Glass
half-full: A perennial all-star, gold glove
shortstop
Glass
half-empty: A solid defensive shortstop that never
hits enough to be elite
2 comments:
Thank you for all your fantastic effort and analysis; I really learned quite a bit about players I knew little about, and am going to watch the minors with with lots more interest this season.
Great, really glad you enjoyed it. Check back in the next few days, I'll be posting some more stuff on these guys that I've been seeing here in spring training.
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