Indians Prospect Countdown: #30-26
Day three of the countdown brings us a bonus baby SP out of high school, a 1B with serious power potential, a power reliever who took a step back last year, an under-the-radar SP and one of the sweetest swings in the whole organization.
Photo Credit: Kharli Rose |
30. Sean Brady, SP
DOB: 6/9/1994
Height/Weight: 6-0/185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: Left/Left
Acquired: 5th
round pick in the 2013 MLB Draft
2013 Stats: 0-1, 1.97 ERA
with 30 K and 6 BB in 32 IP for Rookie Level Arizona
Scouting Report: The Indians
selected Brady with the 141st overall pick in the 2013 draft out of
Ida Baker High School in Florida. Slot for that pick was $347,100, but the
Indians dug deep into their bonus pool to pay Brady an impressive $800,000 to
forgo his scholarship to the University of Florida and get his professional
career underway. Brady went 7-1 with a 0.68 ERA his senior year of high school,
striking out an impressive 104 in just 51 2/3 IP. He signed in time to throw a
few innings last year, and was able to showcase some impressive command and
control, walking just 6 and posting a sub-2.00 ERA in 32 innings of work for
the AZL Indians. It was an impressive professional debut for the young
southpaw, and I’m excited to see him pitch in Goodyear during spring training
this year.
Brady
has three pitches, all of which project to be above-average at the major league
level. His fastball currently sits between 87-91 MPH, and can touch 93. For a
lefty, that’s about average, but you can expect Brady to pick up a couple of
MPH as he adds strength to his 6’ frame. Coming from a ¾ arm slot, the pitch
has nice arm-side run. He spots it effectively to both sides of the plate, and
does a nice job using it to get ahead of hitters early in the count. Both his
curveball and changeup are above-average pitches already, and could develop
into plus offerings at the major league level. The changeup sits around 77-78
MPH, and has nice fade and sinking action. The curve has tight, sharp break and
breaks hard through the zone. I’d love to see Brady add a cutter to his
repertoire, as I think it’d give him a weapon to really attack right-handed
hitters. But that’s getting a little ahead of ourselves, as the 19-year old
hasn’t even pitched outside of the complex leagues yet.
Brady
has very clean, smooth mechanics and has shown no problems repeating his
delivery. He has a real feel for pitching, and does a nice job attacking
hitters early in the count and getting them to swing at offspeed stuff once he
gets ahead. He fits the “crafty lefty” bill to a T, but if he picks up some
velocity on his fastball he can be more than that. Baseball America chose Brady
as one of the 3 high school pitchers with the best command in the 2013 draft,
and the bonus $$ forked over by the Indians shows just how highly they value
the Florida southpaw. He’s one of the few players on this list that I haven’t
see play yet, and I’m really looking forward to watching him pitch in Goodyear
this month.
Glass half-full: A projectable
#3, if he adds FB velo
Glass half-empty: A solid #4/5 in
the back of a ML rotation
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
29. Nelson Rodriguez, 1B
DOB: 6/12/1994
Height/Weight: 6-2/250 lbs.
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: 15th
round pick in the 2012 MLB Draft
2013 Stats: .252/.342/.378
with 10 HR and 50 RBI in 120 games between short-season Mahoning Valley and
low-A Lake County
Scouting Report: Rodriguez was
drafted out of George Washington High School in New York City. The Indians have
had some success with kids out of George Washington in the past, namely
outfielder Manny Ramirez who was drafted out of GWHS in 1991. Rodriguez was a
catcher in high school in addition to playing some 1B, but the Indians have
turned him into a full-time 1B as a professional. His arm was strong enough to
remain behind the plate, but his size and feet led the Indians to transition
Rodriguez to 1B. His bat should more than play at 1B though, as Rodriguez has
as much raw power as anyone in the organization. The Indians were aggressive
with the Nellie in 2013, assigning him to the low-A Midwest League as an
18-year old to begin the season. Rodriguez hit just .194/.305/.256 with one HR
in 47 games with the Captains, striking out 53 times while drawing 26 walks.
Sent down to the short-season New York-Penn League when that circuit began play
in June, Rodriguez found a lot more success. He hit .287/.366/.452 with 9 HR in
73 games as a Scrapper, showcasing the skills that the Indians envisioned when
they drafted him in 2012.
Rodriguez
has 6+ raw power, and puts on an impressive show in batting practice. He has
power to all fields, but is particularly impressive from LF to CF. He has a
somewhat long swing with a deep load, and will always have some swing-and-miss
in his game because of that. But the long swing helps generate power, and when
Rodriguez can extend his arms on a pitch out over the plate, watch out. Inside
fastballs can sometimes tie him up, and that’s something he’s going to have to
work on moving forward. But the raw power makes him an imposing figure at the
plate, and he has the potential to be a thumper in the middle of a major league
lineup. He has above-average bat speed and strong hands, so even after he
shortens up his swing a little he should still have impressive power. Rodriguez
offered a tantalizing glimpse of his potential at the plate in July of last
year, when he hit .383/.431/.673 with 7 HR in just 29 games for the Scrappers.
Defensively,
Rodriguez has a great arm for a 1B. He’s a solid defender with soft hands and
does a really nice job digging out low throws from his fellow infielders. He’s
a below-average runner, but that’s something you’d expect from a 250 lbs. first
baseman. Stealing bases isn’t going to be part of Rodriguez’s game, but that
hardly matters if he’s hitting 30+ HR and driving in 100 runs in the middle of
a lineup.
Rodriguez
is a high-risk, high-reward type of prospect. He’s an extremely hard worker who’s
drawn rave reviews for his makeup and intangibles, so there’s a very good
chance that he gets the most out of his tools as a professional. He’ll likely
be back in Lake County to open the 2014 season, and it will be interesting to
see if Rodriguez has made significant adjustments to his swing and approach
since 2013’s tour of the Midwest League. He’s a fun guy to watch hit, and has
the potential to be one of those “helium” prospects who jumps 15-20 spots on
next year’s list.
Glass half-full: A middle-of-the
order bat at 1B
Glass half-empty: The bat can’t
carry him all the way to the major leagues
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
28. Shawn Armstrong, RP
DOB: 9/11/1990
Height/Weight: 6-2/210 lbs.
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: 18th
round pick in the 2011 MLB Draft
2013 Stats: 2-3, 4.14 ERA
with 48 K and 21 BB in 37 IP between Rookie Level Arizona and AA Akron
Scouting Report: Armstrong took a
small step backwards in 2013, struggling with his command and putting up an ERA
that was 2 ½ runs higher than his 2012 mark. But the raw stuff is still there,
as his K/9 rate actually went up from 10.4 to 11.7. Armstrong’s entire season
was thrown off by a wrist injury that he suffered in Goodyear during spring
training. He tried to pitch through it, and was finally sent to the DL after
giving up 3 ER in 2/3’s of an inning for the Aeros on April 19. He returned to
Akron on June 30, and posted a 3.58 ERA for the rest of the season. Armstrong
closed out 2013 on a high note, as he did not allow an earned run in his final
6 appearances of the season (8 2/3 IP).
Armstrong
has back of the bullpen quality stuff, starting with a plus fastball. He works
consistently in the mid-90’s and can touch 98 with life. He compliments the
fastball with a wipeout slider that is particularly devastating on right handed
hitters. He also employs a cutter to attack lefties with, and I was really
hoping he’d refine that pitch in 2013 to add a third weapon to his arsenal.
It’s an impressive profile, and there’s little doubt that Armstrong has the raw
stuff to be a 8th or 9th-inning guy in the major leagues.
The
only flaw that could hold Armstrong back is his command, which at present is
below-average. He averages 5 BB per 9 IP, which is a number that has to come
down if he’s going to find success at the next level. He can get away with more
walks than the average arm because he misses so many bats, but still needs to
show improvement in his command and control to continue to climb the Indians
organizational ladder. His delivery can best be described as violent, which both
helps him show deception and increase velocity while at the same time costing
him repeatability and command. He’s a good athlete though, and I have to
believe the Indians coaching staff will help him iron out a couple of kinks in
the delivery that will still allow him to maintain his stuff. He’ll probably open the 2014 season back in
AA Akron, but could move quickly to Columbus and even Cleveland this year if
the need arises.
Glass half-full: A power reliever
in the back-end of a MLB bullpen
Glass half-empty: Command holds
him back from an 8th or 9th inning role
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
27. Jordan Cooper, SP
DOB: 5/10/1989
Height/Weight: 6-2/190 lbs
Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Acquired: 9th
round pick in the 2010 MLB Draft
2013 Stats: 5-6, 2.88 ERA
with 74 K and 39 BB in 97 IP between high-A Carolina and AA Akron
Scouting Report: Cooper had a
promising season derailed last year by arm trouble, trying to pitch through the
pain but ultimately being shut down in mid-July. He had surgery this offseason
to remove bone chips and a bone spur from his right arm, but is already back on
a throwing program and should be ready to go with no restrictions to open the
2014 season. When Cooper went down, he was throwing the ball as well as anyone
in the system. In 9 appearances (6 starts) with AA Akron in June and July,
Cooper went 3-2 with a 1.70 ERA, striking out 30 in his 42 1/3 innings of work.
He wound up with the lowest ERA on the Akron staff for pitchers throwing more
than 70 innings despite the injury, and it would have been nice to see if he
could’ve kept that momentum going through the final month and a half of the
season.
Cooper
was selected out of the baseball factory that is Wichita State University (alma
mater of former Indians skipper Eric Wedge!) in the 9th round of the
2010 draft. He has a deep arsenal, throwing a 2-seam fastball, 4-seam fastball,
slider, cutter and curveball. The 4-seamer sits in the 91-94 MPH range, with
the 2-seamer a tick slower but featuring some nice arm-side run and sink.
Cooper attacks hitters early in the count by pounding the lower-half of the
zone with his fastball, and then uses his offspeed stuff to induce weak contact
once he gets ahead of them in the count. His cutter really runs in on the hands
of lefties, providing him with an effective pitch against hitters from both
sides of the plate. His slider is an above-average pitch with nice late life
and tilt, and his curveball gives him a weapon to change the eye level on
hitters. It’s a starter’s arsenal, and Cooper should have no problem sticking
in the rotation long-term.
Cooper
is a very good athlete with a clean delivery that he has no problem repeating.
He’s more of a command-and-control guy than a top of the rotation strikeout
machine, but you can’t argue with the on the field results that he’s been able
to produce as a professional. He pounds the strike zone, keeps the ball in the
ballpark (less than 1 HR/9 IP in both 2012/13) and induces a lot of soft
contact. Cooper will turn 25 in May, so 2014 is a big season for his prospect
standing. If he can stay on the field and healthy, he’s a major league option
as soon as this year. He’ll likely start off in the AA Akron rotation, and
could move quickly to Columbus depending on how the cast of veterans that the
Indians are bringing to camp shake out.
Glass half-full: Innings-eating
#4 starter
Glass half-empty: Versatile
swingman out of the bullpen
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
26. Jordan Smith, OF
DOB: 7/5/1990
Height/Weight: 6-4/205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Acquired: 9th
round pick in the 2011 MLB Draft
2013 Stats: .292/.368/.400 with
5 HR and 54 RBI in 134 games with high-A Carolina
Scouting Report: Smith has been
one of the more consistent hitters in the Indians organization since he was
drafted in 2011, putting up a .303/.375/.418 line in his 315 minor league
contests with the Scrappers, Captains and Mudcats. He was 2nd in the
Midwest League in batting in 2012, and his .292 AVG was good for 8th
in the Carolina League last year. Smith has produced at every level he’s been
at since being drafted out of Division II St. Cloud State in 2011, but he’s
also been a little old for each level. Smith can’t control where he plays
though, all he can do is go out and hit which is exactly what he’s done so far
in his career.
Smith
has a sweet, smooth swing from the left side. It’s a very level swing that
doesn’t generate a ton of backspin, but he consistently puts the barrel of the
bat on the ball and hits line drives all over the ballpark. He’s a potential 5+
or 6 hitter, but his power projects to be only about average. He’s hit just 14
HR in 315 minor league games, but does have 72 doubles. Some of those doubles
will turn into HR as Smith continues to add strength to his tall, projectable
frame but the swing itself just doesn’t lend itself to a ton of power. If
you’ve never seen Smith hit, he swings the bat like a taller version of Lonnie
Chisenhall. I have seen two of Smith’s career homers, one at Lake County that
never got more than about 15 feet off the ground, and then one for Carolina
against Potomac last year that was a moon shot that probably went well over 400
feet to right-center. Smith generates a lot of loud contact, and more power
should come as Smith gets older.
Smith
was a 3B coming out of college, and played primarily at the hot corner for
Mahoning Valley in 2011. Since the beginning of 2012 though, he’s appeared
exclusively in the outfield. He has an
above-average arm, and has found a nice home in RF. He played 102 games in
right for Carolina last season, collecting 12 outfield assists (he added a 13th
from CF). He made just 4 errors, and should have no problem providing average
to above-average defense in RF long-term.
Smith’s
present bat profiles better at 3B than it does in a corner OF spot, but if he
can continue to hit in the .300 range with a .370 OBP, the Indians will live
with the relative lack of power. Both the low-A Midwest League and high-A
Carolina League are known to favor pitchers over hitters, so it’s possible that
Smith’s numbers could take a step forward with AA Akron this year. He’s
definitely a guy to keep an eye on, and if his power can tick upwards to even
average, he’s a real prospect.
Glass half-full: A .300/.380/.430
guy in RF
Glass half-empty: A slower version
of Trevor Crowe
6 comments:
If Nelson Rodriguez lives up to his glass half-full projection, then he'll be a huge steal in the 11th round. Did teams pass on him because of signability concerns (he was in HS) or was it more concern about his ability to develop into a consistent hitter? He's one of those rare, corner of the diamond players the Indians don't seem to draft very often. But his power potential (and from the right side!) is very intriguing.
I didn't realize Jordan Cooper was as close to the majors as he was. Of course, he's entering his age-25 season so he should be. A month's worth of elite numbers in AA is probably too little to get excited about but I'm glad to see a SP prospect ranked in the late-20's who has had a taste of AA. That definitely helps shore up this org's weakest spot.
AA will be a huge test for Jordan Smith, obviously. I didn't realize he was playing at age 22-23 in Carolina. I imagine he will spend the whole year as a Rubber Duck, which would put him in line for Columbus in 2015 in his age 24-25 year. That's a tad old to be a prospect by Triple A standards but not rally too bad.
Mark,
Rodriguez signed for an even $100k, which isn't huge but is more than most 15th round picks get. Teams didn't see him as a catcher, and as a 1B-only type the bat really has to play to get him to the bigs. He has a lot of swing and miss in his game, but like you said, in a system that is short on corner bats, he's a very intriguing guy.
I love Cooper, as you can see. He doesn't have overpowering stuff, but is a good athlete and a tremendous competitor. I'm probably higher on him that anyone else that follows the system, but he's always pitched so damn well when I've seen him that I just can't have him any lower.
I had Smith several spots higher in my earlier drafts, but his age and lack of power production ultimately had me drop him to 26. He's a very, very good hitter, but I'd like to see him against more age-appropriate pitching before I jump him into the high teens.
Thanks for reading!
Any chance Brady starts the season in Lake County?
Definitely a chance. They started Mitch Brown in LC the year after he was drafted. They also might want to hold him in extended until it warms up a little.
Aside from the 2013 draftees (who were outstanding) and Danny Salazar, last year was a pretty dreadful season for Tribe starting pitching throughout the system. Here's to hoping this year is different.
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