Indians Prospect Countdown: #10-6
Photo credit: Alyson Boyer Rode |
10. Justus Sheffield, LHP
DOB: 05/13/1996
Height/Weight:
5’10”, 196 lb.
Bats/Throws:
Left/Left
Acquired:
1st round sandwich pick in the 2014 MLB draft
2014
Stats: 3-1, 4.87 ERA, 29 K and 9 BB in 20 1/3 IP for the
Rookie League AZL Indians
Scouting
Report: Sheffield is my 2nd highest ranked pitcher in the
Indians organization right now. He has a lot of upside and projection in him,
and even if he falls short of what the Indians are hoping he can be as a
starter, he’ll at least have a chance to be an impact arm in the back end of a
major league bullpen. Sheffield was committed to Vanderbilt out of his
Tennessee high school, and the Indians were able to break that commitment with
a $1.6 million signing bonus (slot for the 31st pick is $1.7
million). In high school, Sheffield went 10-0 on the mound as a senior, with a
0.34 ERA. He racked up 131 strikeouts in just 61 2/3 innings, showing why he
was pegged as a potential 1st round selection on most mock draft
boards. Like Clint Frazier before him, Sheffield was the Gatorade National High
School Player of the Year in 2014. Sheffield’s brother, Jordan, pitches for
Vanderbilt and turned down an offer to sign with the Red Sox when he was
selected in the 13th round out of the same high school in 2013.
Sheffield is a slightly undersized lefty who attacks
hitters with a three-pitch mix. As you’d expect, everything starts with his
fastball, an offering that sits comfortably in the low-90’s and can touch 95
when he needs to. He delivers it from a high ¾ arm angle that helps give the
pitch some arm-side run. He compliments the above-average fastball with both a
curveball and a changeup. Sheffield throws the curve in any count, and has been
able to spot it to both sides of the plate for strikes. The pitch has nice
depth, and sits in the mid-70’s. His third pitch is a developing changeup that
could really be an out pitch for Sheffield. It flashes plus, with nice late
arm-side fade. He does a nice job keeping his arm speed consistent, so the
pitch is really deceptive to hitters. It’s a starter’s arsenal, and the Indians
see him pitching in the rotation for a long time to come.
Leading up to and immediately after the draft, all
the reports on Sheffield’s makeup were positive. Then, on January 12, Sheffield
was arrested for aggravated burglary and underage drinking stemming from an
incident in his hometown when Sheffield entered another person’s unlocked
house, looking to talk to someone about an incident with his girlfriend. He was
drunk, and the police were called. Sheffield pled guilty to a reduced charge in
Feb, and the record will be expunged if he stays out of trouble. It’s an
isolated incident for a teenage kid, but something to keep an eye on moving
forward.
All of his stuff plays up due to Sheffield’s
athleticism and ability to consistently repeat his delivery. He’s strongly
built with a thick lower half, and should be able to get himself into shape to
throw a starter’s workload. There’s a long road between Sheffield and
Cleveland, and right now Sheffield needs innings more than anything else. He’s
likely to start the 2015 season in extended spring training, and will probably
be a member of the Mahoning Valley Scrappers rotation when the short-season New
York-Penn League starts up in June.
Glass
half-full: A #2/3 starter in a big league rotation
Glass
half-empty: A #4 starter or bullpen arm
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
9. Mitch Brown, RHP
DOB: 4/13/1994
Height/Weight:
6’1”, 195 lb.
Bats/Throws:
Right/Right
Acquired:
2nd round pick in the 2012 MLB draft
2014
Stats: 8-8 with a 3.32 ERA, 127 K and 55 BB in 138 1/3 IP
for low-A Lake County
Scouting
Report: A 2nd round pick in the 2012 MLB draft
out of a Rochester, Minnesota high school, Brown put together a really nice
season for the Lake County Captains last year. Brown began the 2013 season in
Lake County, but was quickly reassigned to extended spring training after
posting an 11.49 ERA in his first 5 starts in the Midwest League. Brown
struggled mightily with his command in 2013, walking 40 hitters in 67 2/3’s
innings of work between Lake County and the Rookie level Arizona League. He
struggled with his fastball command and as a result was never able to flash the
potential that made him one of the top 100 players in the 2012 draft class.
Fast forward to 2014, and Brown issued just 55 free passes in 138 1/3 innings,
cutting his walk rate almost in half from 2013. It’s amazing how much easier it
is to get outs when you’re throwing strikes consistently.
Brown sets everything up with his fastball, an
above-average to plus offering that sits consistently between 92-95 MPH,
touching 97, with nice sink. Brown struggled with his fastball command in 2013,
but improved a great deal in 2014, spotting it much better down in the zone and
to both sides of the plate. He compliments the fastball with a cutter,
curveball and changeup. The cutter is his best secondary offering, an above-average
pitch with late life across the zone. It’ll be his out pitch throughout his
career, whether it’s via the strikeout or by inducing weak contact. His
curveball remains a little inconsistent, but it flashes plus and is the key to
his development as a starter. The pitch can be really good; it’s a 11/5 hammer
with excellent two-plane break, changing speeds and really serving to keep
hitters off balance. There’s a feeling amongst pitching coaches that the
curveball either is in a pitchers wrist or it isn’t, and Brown clearly has a
feel for the pitch. He just needs to work on consistency and command to have it
be a legitimate third weapon in his arsenal.
Brown is an excellent athlete who does a nice job
repeating his delivery. He’s a hard worker on and off the field, a player who
stands a good chance at realizing his potential due to his makeup. He’s slated
to start the 2015 season in the Lynchburg rotation, and the high-A Carolina
League will be a tough test for the 21-year old righty. He closed the 2014
season on a high note, allowing just a .195 AVG and .513 OPS against in 6
August starts. Hopefully he can carry that momentum over to the 2015 season and
put together another solid campaign on his way to the corner of Carnegie and
Ontario.
Glass
half-full: A #3 starter in a major league rotation
Glass
half-empty: A #4/5 starter or a swingman out of the bullpen
Photo Credit: Perfect Game |
8. Bobby Bradley, 1B
DOB: 5/29/1996
Height/Weight:
6’1”, 225 lb.
Bats/Throws:
Left/Right
Acquired:
3rd round pick in the 2014 MLB draft
2014
Stats: .361/.426/.625 with 8 HR and 50 RBI in 39 games with
the Rookie League Arizona Indians
Scouting
Report: Selected in the 3rd round of last year’s
draft out of a Mississippi high school, Bradley is a somewhat raw high school
bat with incredible upside. Thrown into the complex leagues as an 18-year old
in 2014, Bradley responded by putting up eye-popping numbers including a
league-leading 1.078 OPS, 8 HR and 50 RBI. He was the most dominant hitter in
the league despite being one of the younger players, and as a result there are
a lot of people talking about Bradley as a steal for the Indians in the 3rd
round. Bradley was committed to Louisiana State out of high school, but an
over-slot bonus of $912,500 kept him out of a Tigers uniform and locked in to
Cleveland.
Bradley is a big, strong lefthanded hitter with
impressive raw power. His swing has some natural loft to it, and he uses that
to generate a lot of backspin. He has quick, strong hands and outstanding bat
speed. Especially considering his youth and experience, Bradley has an advanced
approach, which will help his raw power play in game situations and not just in
BP. He does have some swing and miss in his game (as you’d expect from someone
with his power), striking out 36 times against 16 walks in 39 complex league
games. Most of Bradley’s power is to the pull side at present, but he does a
nice job staying back on the ball and using the left side of the field, so it’s
only a matter of time until he starts developing more consistent over-the-fence
power to the opposite field. He’ll still get caught chasing high fastballs, and
will need to learn to adjust to the more difficult breaking stuff as he rises
through the organization. But the bat is tantalizing, and the power is
something that can’t be ignored.
Defensively, Bradley is limited to 1st
base, so most of his value is going to have to come from his bat. He’s a solid
defender at present, but is going to have to work to maintain his flexibility
and dexterity as he continues to fill out his 6’1” frame. He’s already a big
guy, and will only add weight as he moves through the minor league system.
Still, there’s no reason to think that Bradley can’t be at least an average
defender at 1B, and with his bat, that’s more than enough.
Bradley was more advanced than anyone thought last
year, and there’s a chance that the Indians send him straight to Lake County to
open the 2015 season. He won’t turn 19 until the end of May, so it’s more
likely that they keep him in extended spring training to start off the season
and send him to the Captains (or Scrappers) when the weather starts warming up.
He’s a high-ceiling power bat, something the Indians have struggled to develop
in recent years. He’s at least 3 or 4 years away, but he has the potential to
slug his way to the corner of Carnegie and Ontario.
Glass
half-full: A middle of the order 1B
Glass
half-empty: Jesus Aguilar
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
7. Erik Gonzalez, SS
DOB: 8/31/1991
Height/Weight:
6’0”, 175 lb.
Bats/Throws:
Right/Right
Acquired:
International free agent in 2009
2014
Stats: .309/.390/.473 with 4 HR and 62 RBI in 105 games
between high-A Carolina and AA Akron
Scouting
Report: Gonzalez is one of the biggest risers from last
year’s list to this year’s, as I had him ranked 33rd in the
organization in 2014. I’ve always believed in the glove, but I just wasn’t sold
on the bat going into the 2014 season. Gonzalez made some key adjustments and
really improved his overall offensive game, hence the top-10 overall ranking on
this year’s list.
Gonzalez began the 2014 season where he finished in
2013, back in the high-A Carolina League. Unlike in 2013 though, Gonzalez hit
the ball while in a Mudcat uniform. After posting just a .625 OPS in 39 high-A
games in 2013, Gonzalez slashed his way to a .289/.336/.409 line in the
pitcher-friendly Carolina League. He got even better after he was called up to
AA Akron, putting up a .357/.390/.473 line in 31 games as a RubberDuck. When it
was all said and done, Gonzalez had posted full-season highs in all three
triple slash categories, and the best strikeout/walk ratio of his career (30 BB
and 88 K’s). The improvements at the plate came as a direct result of
improvements in Gonzalez’s swing mechanics. Gonzalez had been working hard to
get rid of a big, unnecessary leg lift that he used for timing purposes to
trigger his swing. Last year, he managed to gradually reduce and finally
eliminate the leg kick and ensuing long stride, shortening both his stride and
swing path. It helped him stay back on the ball and not get fooled as easily by
breaking balls, making him more than just a fastball hitter. The results were
dramatic, and although Gonzalez would go back to the leg kick from
time-to-time, he eventually got used to the new swing, with impressive results.
He also started his hands lower so they didn’t have as much movement from
stance to load, resulting in a better swing path. It was a dramatic improvement
both in mechanics and results, helping convince me that Gonzalez can be more
than just a defensive specialist at the next level.
Speaking of defense, Gonzalez is easily the 2nd-best
defensive SS in the organization, better even than Justin Sellers and Jose
Ramirez. He doesn’t quite have the range or instincts of Francisco Lindor (who
does?), but he actually has a better arm that the (SPOILER ALERT!) Indians top
prospect. He has great range both in the hole and up the middle, and has really
made strides in his ability to throw on the run. He has a 7 infield arm and is
a 6+ overall defender at SS, something that’s extremely valuable in its own
right. Gonzalez played all over the diamond prior to 2014, appearing in more
games at 3B and 2B than at SS. That changed in 2014, as he was exclusively a
shortstop in all 104 games last season. The Indians seemed to be toying with
the idea of making him a superutility player who could spell a regular at any
infield position, but wisely settled him in at short last year knowing that’s
where he could provide the most value.
Going into 2014, I wasn’t really a believer in Gonzalez’s
future in Cleveland. I was a skeptic when he was added to the 40-man roster in
the offseason, thinking the Indians jumped the gun by putting him on the
roster. This is one of those cases where I am extremely glad to have been
wrong, as Gonzalez proved he could be a major-league contributor on both the
offensive and defensive side of the ledger. He’ll likely start off 2015 back in
AA Akron, but will be able to slide up to AAA to replace Francisco Lindor if
and when Lindor gets the call to Cleveland. Gonzalez will be blocked by Lindor
for the foreseeable future, but is a very solid depth option and an intriguing
trade chip. He’s part of an impressive collection of up-the-middle talent in
the Indians organization, and is a guy to keep an eye on this year leading up
to the July 31 trade deadline. He’s a fun guy to watch on the field, and will
be a popular name in trade conversations as long as he’s sitting behind a guy
like Lindor.
Glass
half-full: A defense-oriented starting shortstop in the major
leagues
Glass
half-empty: A defense-oriented utility infielder in the major
leagues
Photo Credit: Al Ciammaichella |
6. Tyler Naquin, OF
DOB: 4/24/1991
Height/Weight:
6’2”, 175 lb.
Bats/Throws:
Left/Right
Acquired:
1st round pick in the 2012 MLB draft
2014
Stats: .313/.371/.424 with 4 HR and 30 RBI in 76 games for
AA Akron
Scouting
Report: Naquin was on his way to a solid 2014 with AA Akron
when he broke a bone in his hand in late-June, causing him to miss the rest of
the season. Naquin’s last game was on June 27, so his counting stats look
rather pedestrian. But he posted the highest AVG, OBP and SLG of his young
career, showing that the adjustments that he made to his swing in 2013 helped
generate more power without sacrificing contact. It was a good year for the
young CF, and it’s a real shame it was cut short as it cost him a chance to get
his feet wet in AAA Columbus.
Naquin was considered one of the best pure hitters
in the draft in 2012, but his swing had a bit of a hitch in it and was geared
more towards contact as opposed to driving the ball. The Indians started
re-working his swing in 2013, trying to smooth it out and add a little loft.
The bat profiles best in CF, but it’s not going to be completely empty. He’s
always going to be geared more towards batting average and doubles power rather
than home runs.
Defensively, Naquin has one of the best outfield
arms in all of minor league baseball. He has both incredible arm strength and
accuracy, using both to record a total of 28 OF assists in 255 career games
(mostly in CF). At a game in Bowie last season, I saw Naquin record a walk-off
outfield assist on a single into CF. Naquin charged the hard grounder and made
a perfect throw to the plate to preserve a 1-run Akron victory in the bottom of
the 9th. It was an incredible play that brought the
normally-reserved scouts in attendance to their feet, and was a great example
of how Naquin can impact a game with his arm. He’s an above-average runner who
has really made strides in CF after not playing the position in college. Naquin
has reached the point where he’s a good bet to stick in CF defensively, which
will help his overall profile as the bat really isn’t what you’d like to see in
a corner OF.
Naquin is an intelligent, hard working player who
should be able to get the most out of his tools. The hand injury delayed his
likely promotion to AAA, and he’ll probably begin the 2015 season in AA Akron.
But expect him to move to Columbus in short order, with an outside chance at
making an appearance in Cleveland this year. Naquin is going to get the first
shot to be the long-term replacement for Michael Bourn in CF, and if Bourn
struggles with leg injuries in 2015 the way he did in 2014, that replacement
could be needed sooner than any of us would’ve guessed when Bourn signed a
four-year deal prior to the 2013 season.
Glass
half-full: A defense-oriented starting CF
Glass
half-empty: Tyler Holt with a better arm
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